Current short-term forecasts from sources including the BBC and European models point to clear, sunny conditions in Ankara on August 13, supporting a daily high near 31°C as the most probable outcome and explaining its leading 41.5% market-implied probability. Ankara’s continental climate and inland plateau location promote strong daytime radiative heating under high-pressure dominance typical of mid-August, with historical averages around 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, with 30°C and 32°C as secondary contenders at 24.5% and 18.5% respectively due to minor uncertainties in wind and cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or heatwave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift consensus away from this narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 13 de agosto?
31°C 43%
30°C 25%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
25%
31°C
43%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 43%
30°C 25%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
26°C or below
$348 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$323 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$96 Vol.
3%
29°C
$180 Vol.
9%
30°C
$191 Vol.
25%
31°C
$1,019 Vol.
43%
32°C
$245 Vol.
19%
33°C
$77 Vol.
3%
34°C
$28 Vol.
1%
35°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$81 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from sources including the BBC and European models point to clear, sunny conditions in Ankara on August 13, supporting a daily high near 31°C as the most probable outcome and explaining its leading 41.5% market-implied probability. Ankara’s continental climate and inland plateau location promote strong daytime radiative heating under high-pressure dominance typical of mid-August, with historical averages around 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, with 30°C and 32°C as secondary contenders at 24.5% and 18.5% respectively due to minor uncertainties in wind and cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or heatwave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift consensus away from this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$2,625Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from sources including the BBC and European models point to clear, sunny conditions in Ankara on August 13, supporting a daily high near 31°C as the most probable outcome and explaining its leading 41.5% market-implied probability. Ankara’s continental climate and inland plateau location promote strong daytime radiative heating under high-pressure dominance typical of mid-August, with historical averages around 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, with 30°C and 32°C as secondary contenders at 24.5% and 18.5% respectively due to minor uncertainties in wind and cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or heatwave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift consensus away from this narrow range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,625Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from sources including the BBC and European models point to clear, sunny conditions in Ankara on August 13, supporting a daily high near 31°C as the most probable outcome and explaining its leading 41.5% market-implied probability. Ankara’s continental climate and inland plateau location promote strong daytime radiative heating under high-pressure dominance typical of mid-August, with historical averages around 30–32°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation, with 30°C and 32°C as secondary contenders at 24.5% and 18.5% respectively due to minor uncertainties in wind and cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or heatwave signals have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift consensus away from this narrow range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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