Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European centers project a high near 30–31°C in Munich on August 13 under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation with minimal cloud cover or moisture. This setup maximizes surface heating while limiting vertical mixing and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–31°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, though minor divergences in boundary-layer temperature or afternoon convective development could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August maxima average 25°C, so the current pattern represents an above-normal but not extreme warm anomaly driven by the persistent anticyclone. Updated model runs and observational data tomorrow morning will refine the final value used for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 13 de agosto?
31°C 45%
30°C 39%
32°C 9%
29°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
39%
31°C
45%
32°C
9%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 45%
30°C 39%
32°C 9%
29°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
24°C or below
$278 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$263 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$493 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$284 Vol.
1%
28°C
$321 Vol.
3%
29°C
$883 Vol.
7%
30°C
$1,677 Vol.
39%
31°C
$1,460 Vol.
45%
32°C
$1,172 Vol.
9%
33°C
$438 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$292 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European centers project a high near 30–31°C in Munich on August 13 under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation with minimal cloud cover or moisture. This setup maximizes surface heating while limiting vertical mixing and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–31°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, though minor divergences in boundary-layer temperature or afternoon convective development could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August maxima average 25°C, so the current pattern represents an above-normal but not extreme warm anomaly driven by the persistent anticyclone. Updated model runs and observational data tomorrow morning will refine the final value used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$7,561Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European centers project a high near 30–31°C in Munich on August 13 under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation with minimal cloud cover or moisture. This setup maximizes surface heating while limiting vertical mixing and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–31°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, though minor divergences in boundary-layer temperature or afternoon convective development could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August maxima average 25°C, so the current pattern represents an above-normal but not extreme warm anomaly driven by the persistent anticyclone. Updated model runs and observational data tomorrow morning will refine the final value used for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,561Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and European centers project a high near 30–31°C in Munich on August 13 under a stable high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light easterly winds, and strong daytime solar insolation with minimal cloud cover or moisture. This setup maximizes surface heating while limiting vertical mixing and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 30–31°C because ensemble spreads remain narrow this close to the event, though minor divergences in boundary-layer temperature or afternoon convective development could shift the peak by 1°C. Historical August maxima average 25°C, so the current pattern represents an above-normal but not extreme warm anomaly driven by the persistent anticyclone. Updated model runs and observational data tomorrow morning will refine the final value used for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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