Recent forecasts for above-average temperatures across southeastern Brazil have concentrated trader attention on the 29–31°C range for São Paulo’s maximum on August 13. Seasonal outlooks indicate modest positive anomalies driven by persistent high-pressure patterns and reduced cloud cover, allowing greater solar heating amid typical winter dryness. Ensemble model spreads create the narrow margins between 29°C and 31°C, reflecting small differences in projected boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification. With the market closely balanced, resolution hinges on the final observational reading from official stations, underscoring how minor shifts in afternoon conditions can separate the leading outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Paulo no dia 13 de agosto?
30°C 34%
29°C 29%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
29%
30°C
34%
31°C
20%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 34%
29°C 29%
31°C 20%
28°C 8%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
8%
29°C
29%
30°C
34%
31°C
20%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for above-average temperatures across southeastern Brazil have concentrated trader attention on the 29–31°C range for São Paulo’s maximum on August 13. Seasonal outlooks indicate modest positive anomalies driven by persistent high-pressure patterns and reduced cloud cover, allowing greater solar heating amid typical winter dryness. Ensemble model spreads create the narrow margins between 29°C and 31°C, reflecting small differences in projected boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island amplification. With the market closely balanced, resolution hinges on the final observational reading from official stations, underscoring how minor shifts in afternoon conditions can separate the leading outcomes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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