Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions with frequent scattered showers and an 80% precipitation probability for Tokyo on August 12, which are expected to limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures below the seasonal normal of 31.6°C. This short-term pattern contrasts with the agency's broader summer 2026 outlook for above-average warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High, yet the immediate synoptic setup favors moderation through increased cloud cover and moisture. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 27–29°C as traders weigh model consensus on these factors against typical August climatology of 30–33°C highs, with updates from the next JMA briefing and refined numerical guidance likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 12 de agosto?
28°C 37%
27°C 27%
29°C 19%
26°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
4%
26°C
13%
27°C
27%
28°C
37%
29°C
19%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 37%
27°C 27%
29°C 19%
26°C 13%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
23°C ou menos
$79 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$14 Vol.
1%
25°C
$364 Vol.
4%
26°C
$429 Vol.
13%
27°C
$290 Vol.
27%
28°C
$149 Vol.
37%
29°C
$924 Vol.
19%
30°C
$560 Vol.
3%
31°C
$152 Vol.
1%
32°C
$288 Vol.
1%
33°C ou mais
$611 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions with frequent scattered showers and an 80% precipitation probability for Tokyo on August 12, which are expected to limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures below the seasonal normal of 31.6°C. This short-term pattern contrasts with the agency's broader summer 2026 outlook for above-average warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High, yet the immediate synoptic setup favors moderation through increased cloud cover and moisture. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 27–29°C as traders weigh model consensus on these factors against typical August climatology of 30–33°C highs, with updates from the next JMA briefing and refined numerical guidance likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,858Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions with frequent scattered showers and an 80% precipitation probability for Tokyo on August 12, which are expected to limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures below the seasonal normal of 31.6°C. This short-term pattern contrasts with the agency's broader summer 2026 outlook for above-average warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High, yet the immediate synoptic setup favors moderation through increased cloud cover and moisture. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 27–29°C as traders weigh model consensus on these factors against typical August climatology of 30–33°C highs, with updates from the next JMA briefing and refined numerical guidance likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,858Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate cloudy conditions with frequent scattered showers and an 80% precipitation probability for Tokyo on August 12, which are expected to limit daytime solar heating and cap maximum temperatures below the seasonal normal of 31.6°C. This short-term pattern contrasts with the agency's broader summer 2026 outlook for above-average warmth driven by a strengthened Pacific High, yet the immediate synoptic setup favors moderation through increased cloud cover and moisture. Market-implied probabilities cluster around 27–29°C as traders weigh model consensus on these factors against typical August climatology of 30–33°C highs, with updates from the next JMA briefing and refined numerical guidance likely to refine the range ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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