Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system and advection of hot African air masses are positioning Milan for peak temperatures near 34–35 °C on August 14. Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs, along with guidance from the Italian Air Force Meteorological Service, show strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate extremes. Regional climatology indicates August maxima typically reach 28–32 °C, but the current anomaly—amplified by soil dryness and urban heat-island effects—supports the market’s clustering around 34 °C (44.5 % implied probability) and 35 °C (27 %). Updated model consensus and any last-minute shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture will be the key variables monitored before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 14 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 14 de agosto?
34°C 45%
35°C 28%
36°C 11%
33°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
14 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
11%
34°C
45%
35°C
28%
36°C
11%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C ou mais
<1%
34°C 45%
35°C 28%
36°C 11%
33°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
14 ago 2026
29°C or below
$148 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$37 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$130 Vol.
1%
32°C
$8 Vol.
6%
33°C
$67 Vol.
11%
34°C
$214 Vol.
45%
35°C
$65 Vol.
28%
36°C
$90 Vol.
11%
37°C
$28 Vol.
5%
38°C
$15 Vol.
1%
39°C ou mais
$66 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system and advection of hot African air masses are positioning Milan for peak temperatures near 34–35 °C on August 14. Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs, along with guidance from the Italian Air Force Meteorological Service, show strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate extremes. Regional climatology indicates August maxima typically reach 28–32 °C, but the current anomaly—amplified by soil dryness and urban heat-island effects—supports the market’s clustering around 34 °C (44.5 % implied probability) and 35 °C (27 %). Updated model consensus and any last-minute shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture will be the key variables monitored before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$868Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system and advection of hot African air masses are positioning Milan for peak temperatures near 34–35 °C on August 14. Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs, along with guidance from the Italian Air Force Meteorological Service, show strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate extremes. Regional climatology indicates August maxima typically reach 28–32 °C, but the current anomaly—amplified by soil dryness and urban heat-island effects—supports the market’s clustering around 34 °C (44.5 % implied probability) and 35 °C (27 %). Updated model consensus and any last-minute shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture will be the key variables monitored before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$868Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system and advection of hot African air masses are positioning Milan for peak temperatures near 34–35 °C on August 14. Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs, along with guidance from the Italian Air Force Meteorological Service, show strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies, with limited cloud cover or precipitation expected to moderate extremes. Regional climatology indicates August maxima typically reach 28–32 °C, but the current anomaly—amplified by soil dryness and urban heat-island effects—supports the market’s clustering around 34 °C (44.5 % implied probability) and 35 °C (27 %). Updated model consensus and any last-minute shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture will be the key variables monitored before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions