Trader consensus for Milan's highest temperature on August 13 centers on a persistent heatwave across northern Italy, where stable high-pressure anticyclonic conditions and mostly clear skies are forecast to drive afternoon maxima of 34–36 °C. Recent ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service guidance, supported by GFS ensemble runs, shows limited spread for this short-range period, with peak heating aided by light winds and urban heat-island effects in the city center. These values sit well above the long-term August average of roughly 29–30 °C, while the tight clustering between 34 °C and 36 °C reflects minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any thin high cloud that could trim 1 °C from the daily maximum. Fresh model updates before resolution are expected to refine the precise peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Milão no dia 13 de agosto?
35°C 52%
34°C 24%
36°C 20%
32°C 3%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
24%
35°C
52%
36°C
20%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 52%
34°C 24%
36°C 20%
32°C 3%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
24%
35°C
52%
36°C
20%
37°C
3%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Milan's highest temperature on August 13 centers on a persistent heatwave across northern Italy, where stable high-pressure anticyclonic conditions and mostly clear skies are forecast to drive afternoon maxima of 34–36 °C. Recent ECMWF and Italian Meteorological Service guidance, supported by GFS ensemble runs, shows limited spread for this short-range period, with peak heating aided by light winds and urban heat-island effects in the city center. These values sit well above the long-term August average of roughly 29–30 °C, while the tight clustering between 34 °C and 36 °C reflects minor uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing and any thin high cloud that could trim 1 °C from the daily maximum. Fresh model updates before resolution are expected to refine the precise peak.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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