Official National Weather Service observations for New York City on August 11 showed a daily maximum temperature of 86–87 °F, aligning precisely with the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. Central Park and LaGuardia Airport stations both recorded peaks within this narrow range under clear skies and light southerly flow, with no heat advisories issued. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects the finality of verified hourly data once the calendar day closed, leaving negligible room for revision. Only an undetected station malfunction or post-hoc quality-control adjustment outside historical norms could reopen other bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 11 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 11 de agosto?
86-87°F 100.0%
83°F ou menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$98,591 Vol.
$98,591 Vol.
11 ago 2026
83°F ou menos
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
100%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F ou mais
<1%
86-87°F 100.0%
83°F ou menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$98,591 Vol.
$98,591 Vol.
11 ago 2026
83°F ou menos
$14,131 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$15,491 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$17,645 Vol.
100%
88-89°F
$15,463 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$17,215 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$8,844 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$4,509 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,123 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$880 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$2,867 Vol.
<1%
102°F ou mais
$422 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for New York City on August 11 showed a daily maximum temperature of 86–87 °F, aligning precisely with the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. Central Park and LaGuardia Airport stations both recorded peaks within this narrow range under clear skies and light southerly flow, with no heat advisories issued. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects the finality of verified hourly data once the calendar day closed, leaving negligible room for revision. Only an undetected station malfunction or post-hoc quality-control adjustment outside historical norms could reopen other bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$98,591Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations for New York City on August 11 showed a daily maximum temperature of 86–87 °F, aligning precisely with the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. Central Park and LaGuardia Airport stations both recorded peaks within this narrow range under clear skies and light southerly flow, with no heat advisories issued. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects the finality of verified hourly data once the calendar day closed, leaving negligible room for revision. Only an undetected station malfunction or post-hoc quality-control adjustment outside historical norms could reopen other bins.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$98,591Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations for New York City on August 11 showed a daily maximum temperature of 86–87 °F, aligning precisely with the market’s 100 % implied probability for that bin. Central Park and LaGuardia Airport stations both recorded peaks within this narrow range under clear skies and light southerly flow, with no heat advisories issued. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects the finality of verified hourly data once the calendar day closed, leaving negligible room for revision. Only an undetected station malfunction or post-hoc quality-control adjustment outside historical norms could reopen other bins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions