**Trader consensus centers on 94–95°F as the most likely highest temperature for Houston on August 11, 2026, with strong implied probability reflecting current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus.** Persistent summer humidity and a moist airmass favor scattered afternoon convection that limits full solar heating, while steering patterns and weak upper-level support prevent widespread clearing that would push readings into the upper 90s or higher. Recent short-range model runs and NWS discussion emphasize 40–60% thunderstorm chances during peak heating hours, which historically caps daily maxima in the low-to-mid 90s for the region—consistent with the seasonal climatological average high near 95°F. Stronger ridging or reduced moisture could allow brief excursions toward 96–97°F, but current observational trends and forecast soundings support the narrower 94–95°F window as the highest-probability outcome ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Houston em 11 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Houston em 11 de agosto?
94-95°F 58%
96-97°F 24%
92-93°F 15%
32-33°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
83°F ou menos
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
30-31°C
<1%
88-89°F
2%
32-33°C
4%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
58%
96-97°F
24%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F ou mais
<1%
94-95°F 58%
96-97°F 24%
92-93°F 15%
32-33°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
83°F ou menos
$270 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$145 Vol.
<1%
30-31°C
$667 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$231 Vol.
2%
32-33°C
$308 Vol.
4%
92-93°F
$412 Vol.
15%
94-95°F
$4,070 Vol.
58%
96-97°F
$634 Vol.
24%
98-99°F
$216 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$92 Vol.
<1%
102°F ou mais
$266 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 94–95°F as the most likely highest temperature for Houston on August 11, 2026, with strong implied probability reflecting current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus.**
Persistent summer humidity and a moist airmass favor scattered afternoon convection that limits full solar heating, while steering patterns and weak upper-level support prevent widespread clearing that would push readings into the upper 90s or higher. Recent short-range model runs and NWS discussion emphasize 40–60% thunderstorm chances during peak heating hours, which historically caps daily maxima in the low-to-mid 90s for the region—consistent with the seasonal climatological average high near 95°F.
Stronger ridging or reduced moisture could allow brief excursions toward 96–97°F, but current observational trends and forecast soundings support the narrower 94–95°F window as the highest-probability outcome ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$7,309Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 94–95°F as the most likely highest temperature for Houston on August 11, 2026, with strong implied probability reflecting current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus.**
Persistent summer humidity and a moist airmass favor scattered afternoon convection that limits full solar heating, while steering patterns and weak upper-level support prevent widespread clearing that would push readings into the upper 90s or higher. Recent short-range model runs and NWS discussion emphasize 40–60% thunderstorm chances during peak heating hours, which historically caps daily maxima in the low-to-mid 90s for the region—consistent with the seasonal climatological average high near 95°F.
Stronger ridging or reduced moisture could allow brief excursions toward 96–97°F, but current observational trends and forecast soundings support the narrower 94–95°F window as the highest-probability outcome ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,309Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 94–95°F as the most likely highest temperature for Houston on August 11, 2026, with strong implied probability reflecting current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus.** Persistent summer humidity and a moist airmass favor scattered afternoon convection that limits full solar heating, while steering patterns and weak upper-level support prevent widespread clearing that would push readings into the upper 90s or higher. Recent short-range model runs and NWS discussion emphasize 40–60% thunderstorm chances during peak heating hours, which historically caps daily maxima in the low-to-mid 90s for the region—consistent with the seasonal climatological average high near 95°F. Stronger ridging or reduced moisture could allow brief excursions toward 96–97°F, but current observational trends and forecast soundings support the narrower 94–95°F window as the highest-probability outcome ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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