Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like MetService and the Met Office project maximum temperatures of 14–15°C in Wellington on August 13, aligning with the market's strong preference for those outcomes. In Wellington's maritime winter climate, northerly winds advect milder subtropical air, elevating highs above the seasonal average of 12–13°C, while southerly shifts can suppress readings. NIWA's June–August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions overall, but updated model runs favor a brief warming spell. Traders weigh these dynamical factors against climatological baselines and potential wind changes, with 15°C emerging as the consensus mode given current steering patterns and limited downside risk from colder outbreaks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wellington em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Wellington em 13 de agosto?
15°C 53%
14°C 32%
16°C 11%
13°C 5%
NOVO
$12,021 Vol.
NOVO
$12,021 Vol.
13 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
32%
15°C
53%
16°C
11%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 53%
14°C 32%
16°C 11%
13°C 5%
NOVO
$12,021 Vol.
NOVO
$12,021 Vol.
13 ago 2026
9°C or below
$429 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$579 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$769 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,687 Vol.
5%
14°C
$1,807 Vol.
32%
15°C
$2,443 Vol.
53%
16°C
$2,261 Vol.
11%
17°C
$534 Vol.
2%
18°C
$438 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$707 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like MetService and the Met Office project maximum temperatures of 14–15°C in Wellington on August 13, aligning with the market's strong preference for those outcomes. In Wellington's maritime winter climate, northerly winds advect milder subtropical air, elevating highs above the seasonal average of 12–13°C, while southerly shifts can suppress readings. NIWA's June–August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions overall, but updated model runs favor a brief warming spell. Traders weigh these dynamical factors against climatological baselines and potential wind changes, with 15°C emerging as the consensus mode given current steering patterns and limited downside risk from colder outbreaks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$12,021Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like MetService and the Met Office project maximum temperatures of 14–15°C in Wellington on August 13, aligning with the market's strong preference for those outcomes. In Wellington's maritime winter climate, northerly winds advect milder subtropical air, elevating highs above the seasonal average of 12–13°C, while southerly shifts can suppress readings. NIWA's June–August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions overall, but updated model runs favor a brief warming spell. Traders weigh these dynamical factors against climatological baselines and potential wind changes, with 15°C emerging as the consensus mode given current steering patterns and limited downside risk from colder outbreaks.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,021Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from agencies like MetService and the Met Office project maximum temperatures of 14–15°C in Wellington on August 13, aligning with the market's strong preference for those outcomes. In Wellington's maritime winter climate, northerly winds advect milder subtropical air, elevating highs above the seasonal average of 12–13°C, while southerly shifts can suppress readings. NIWA's June–August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average conditions overall, but updated model runs favor a brief warming spell. Traders weigh these dynamical factors against climatological baselines and potential wind changes, with 15°C emerging as the consensus mode given current steering patterns and limited downside risk from colder outbreaks.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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