Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC highlight light rain and increased cloud cover over Wuhan on August 14, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near 28–29°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those bins, as precipitation and humidity suppress surface heating in the subtropical monsoon regime. Model outputs show modest spread from steering patterns and convective timing, with 30°C remaining viable absent heavier rainfall. Historical August baselines average 31–35°C, but current synoptic conditions favor cooler outcomes; updated runs from regional models or the China Meteorological Administration could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Wuhan em 14 de agosto?
29°C 33%
28°C 26%
27°C 16%
26°C 11%
24°C ou menos
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
16%
28°C
26%
29°C
33%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C ou mais
1%
29°C 33%
28°C 26%
27°C 16%
26°C 11%
24°C ou menos
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
11%
27°C
16%
28°C
26%
29°C
33%
30°C
7%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC highlight light rain and increased cloud cover over Wuhan on August 14, limiting solar insolation and capping daytime maxima near 28–29°C. This aligns with trader consensus favoring those bins, as precipitation and humidity suppress surface heating in the subtropical monsoon regime. Model outputs show modest spread from steering patterns and convective timing, with 30°C remaining viable absent heavier rainfall. Historical August baselines average 31–35°C, but current synoptic conditions favor cooler outcomes; updated runs from regional models or the China Meteorological Administration could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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