Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 14 indicate a mostly cloudy day with a 20% precipitation chance and a maximum of 34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, following an intense early-August heatwave that set multiple national records above 40°C. Persistent humidity and light easterly winds support elevated readings, yet increased cloud cover and potential isolated showers introduce modest cooling uncertainty compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with model consensus on modest moderation, explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C while assigning limited weight to extremes above 34°C or below 31°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 14 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 14 de agosto?
32°C 35%
33°C 34%
31°C 28%
30°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
14 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
10%
31°C
28%
32°C
39%
33°C
34%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 35%
33°C 34%
31°C 28%
30°C 10%
NOVO
NOVO
14 ago 2026
26°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$13 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$12 Vol.
2%
29°C
$3 Vol.
8%
30°C
$30 Vol.
10%
31°C
$52 Vol.
28%
32°C
$70 Vol.
39%
33°C
$19 Vol.
34%
34°C
$18 Vol.
9%
35°C
$7 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$22 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 14 indicate a mostly cloudy day with a 20% precipitation chance and a maximum of 34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, following an intense early-August heatwave that set multiple national records above 40°C. Persistent humidity and light easterly winds support elevated readings, yet increased cloud cover and potential isolated showers introduce modest cooling uncertainty compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with model consensus on modest moderation, explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C while assigning limited weight to extremes above 34°C or below 31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$382Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 14 indicate a mostly cloudy day with a 20% precipitation chance and a maximum of 34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, following an intense early-August heatwave that set multiple national records above 40°C. Persistent humidity and light easterly winds support elevated readings, yet increased cloud cover and potential isolated showers introduce modest cooling uncertainty compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with model consensus on modest moderation, explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C while assigning limited weight to extremes above 34°C or below 31°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$382Data de Término
14 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 14 indicate a mostly cloudy day with a 20% precipitation chance and a maximum of 34°C in the Seoul-Incheon area, following an intense early-August heatwave that set multiple national records above 40°C. Persistent humidity and light easterly winds support elevated readings, yet increased cloud cover and potential isolated showers introduce modest cooling uncertainty compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week. Historical August averages near 31–32°C, combined with model consensus on modest moderation, explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C while assigning limited weight to extremes above 34°C or below 31°C.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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