Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range guidance projects a 34°C daytime maximum for Seoul/Incheon on August 13 under predominantly clear skies and light easterly flow, following a prolonged regional heatwave that peaked above 40°C earlier in the month. Trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C (over 80% combined implied probability) reflects model agreement on strong insolation but accounts for typical short-range uncertainty in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and Yellow Sea breeze moderation at the coastal Incheon station. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover evolution, wind shifts, and surface moisture, with official updates expected within 24–48 hours as the event approaches. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C underscore the elevated but plausible range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Seul (Incheon) em 13 de agosto?
33°C 36%
32°C 27%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
18%
35°C
9%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 36%
32°C 27%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
28°C or below
$33 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$49 Vol.
2%
30°C
$28 Vol.
3%
31°C
$61 Vol.
12%
32°C
$88 Vol.
27%
33°C
$40 Vol.
36%
34°C
$52 Vol.
18%
35°C
$82 Vol.
9%
36°C
$183 Vol.
6%
37°C
$38 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$38 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range guidance projects a 34°C daytime maximum for Seoul/Incheon on August 13 under predominantly clear skies and light easterly flow, following a prolonged regional heatwave that peaked above 40°C earlier in the month. Trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C (over 80% combined implied probability) reflects model agreement on strong insolation but accounts for typical short-range uncertainty in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and Yellow Sea breeze moderation at the coastal Incheon station. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover evolution, wind shifts, and surface moisture, with official updates expected within 24–48 hours as the event approaches. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C underscore the elevated but plausible range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$691Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range guidance projects a 34°C daytime maximum for Seoul/Incheon on August 13 under predominantly clear skies and light easterly flow, following a prolonged regional heatwave that peaked above 40°C earlier in the month. Trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C (over 80% combined implied probability) reflects model agreement on strong insolation but accounts for typical short-range uncertainty in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and Yellow Sea breeze moderation at the coastal Incheon station. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover evolution, wind shifts, and surface moisture, with official updates expected within 24–48 hours as the event approaches. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C underscore the elevated but plausible range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$691Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range guidance projects a 34°C daytime maximum for Seoul/Incheon on August 13 under predominantly clear skies and light easterly flow, following a prolonged regional heatwave that peaked above 40°C earlier in the month. Trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C (over 80% combined implied probability) reflects model agreement on strong insolation but accounts for typical short-range uncertainty in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and Yellow Sea breeze moderation at the coastal Incheon station. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on exact cloud cover evolution, wind shifts, and surface moisture, with official updates expected within 24–48 hours as the event approaches. Historical August baselines near 30–31°C underscore the elevated but plausible range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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