**KMA short-range guidance currently projects a 25°C overnight minimum for the Incheon station on August 13 under clear skies, consistent with the market’s second-most favored outcome.** Persistent summer warmth from an early-August heatwave that set national records above 42°C has elevated baseline temperatures, while recent high-pressure dominance and low precipitation probability support modest overnight radiative cooling. Typical August lows near Incheon range 21–24°C, but current synoptic patterns and urban heat retention keep the distribution centered on 23–25°C. Model consensus favors limited further cooling absent a frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Traders are weighting the 24°C outcome most heavily, reflecting slight uncertainty in the final observed low between KMA updates and potential microscale variations at the official station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul (Incheon) em 13 de agosto?
23°C 43%
24°C 43%
25°C 11%
22°C 7%
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
33%
24°C
43%
25°C
11%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C ou mais
1%
23°C 43%
24°C 43%
25°C 11%
22°C 7%
18°C ou menos
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
33%
24°C
43%
25°C
11%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**KMA short-range guidance currently projects a 25°C overnight minimum for the Incheon station on August 13 under clear skies, consistent with the market’s second-most favored outcome.** Persistent summer warmth from an early-August heatwave that set national records above 42°C has elevated baseline temperatures, while recent high-pressure dominance and low precipitation probability support modest overnight radiative cooling. Typical August lows near Incheon range 21–24°C, but current synoptic patterns and urban heat retention keep the distribution centered on 23–25°C. Model consensus favors limited further cooling absent a frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Traders are weighting the 24°C outcome most heavily, reflecting slight uncertainty in the final observed low between KMA updates and potential microscale variations at the official station.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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