Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature near 32°C for Ankara on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and dry adiabatic warming over the Anatolian plateau. Ankara’s semi-arid continental climate (Köppen BSk) typically yields August highs averaging 31–32°C, with current short-range guidance showing minimal deviation from climatology and no significant moisture advection or frontal passages expected. Model consensus clusters tightly around 31–33°C, aligning with the dominant market-implied probabilities of 60% for 32°C and 23.5% for 31°C, while lower odds for extremes reflect limited forecast spread this close to the event. Updated model runs on August 11 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Ancara em 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Ancara em 12 de agosto?
32°C 61%
31°C 24%
33°C 13%
30°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
27°C ou menos
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
24%
32°C
61%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou mais
<1%
32°C 61%
31°C 24%
33°C 13%
30°C 4%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
27°C ou menos
$127 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$495 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$459 Vol.
2%
30°C
$149 Vol.
4%
31°C
$443 Vol.
24%
32°C
$636 Vol.
61%
33°C
$208 Vol.
13%
34°C
$148 Vol.
2%
35°C
$35 Vol.
1%
36°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
37°C ou mais
$131 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature near 32°C for Ankara on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and dry adiabatic warming over the Anatolian plateau. Ankara’s semi-arid continental climate (Köppen BSk) typically yields August highs averaging 31–32°C, with current short-range guidance showing minimal deviation from climatology and no significant moisture advection or frontal passages expected. Model consensus clusters tightly around 31–33°C, aligning with the dominant market-implied probabilities of 60% for 32°C and 23.5% for 31°C, while lower odds for extremes reflect limited forecast spread this close to the event. Updated model runs on August 11 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$2,918Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature near 32°C for Ankara on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and dry adiabatic warming over the Anatolian plateau. Ankara’s semi-arid continental climate (Köppen BSk) typically yields August highs averaging 31–32°C, with current short-range guidance showing minimal deviation from climatology and no significant moisture advection or frontal passages expected. Model consensus clusters tightly around 31–33°C, aligning with the dominant market-implied probabilities of 60% for 32°C and 23.5% for 31°C, while lower odds for extremes reflect limited forecast spread this close to the event. Updated model runs on August 11 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,918Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF models indicate a peak temperature near 32°C for Ankara on August 12, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, light winds, and dry adiabatic warming over the Anatolian plateau. Ankara’s semi-arid continental climate (Köppen BSk) typically yields August highs averaging 31–32°C, with current short-range guidance showing minimal deviation from climatology and no significant moisture advection or frontal passages expected. Model consensus clusters tightly around 31–33°C, aligning with the dominant market-implied probabilities of 60% for 32°C and 23.5% for 31°C, while lower odds for extremes reflect limited forecast spread this close to the event. Updated model runs on August 11 will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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