**National Weather Service forecasts place Denver’s high near 94°F on August 12, with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon under partly sunny skies.** This aligns closely with the market’s top outcomes (92–93°F at 40%, 94–95°F at 26.5%), reflecting trader consensus around the official guidance. Recent extreme heat—Denver hit 102°F on August 3 and posted multiple 95–98°F days—has established a warm baseline, yet increasing moisture and convective activity are expected to limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from storms. Model consensus from NWS shows modest day-to-day cooling as a weak front or trough enhances instability without strong downslope warming. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at Denver’s primary observing site; afternoon convection could shave several degrees off the high if storms develop earlier or more widely than currently indicated. With the market resolution window closing soon, any updated NWS or local mesonet observations tomorrow morning will be the decisive inputs for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Denver em 12 de agosto?
92-93°F 40%
32-33°C 26%
94-95°F 25%
96-97°F 7%
87°F ou menos
1%
88-89°F
6%
32-33°C
26%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F ou mais
<1%
92-93°F 40%
32-33°C 26%
94-95°F 25%
96-97°F 7%
87°F ou menos
1%
88-89°F
6%
32-33°C
26%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
25%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts place Denver’s high near 94°F on August 12, with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon under partly sunny skies.** This aligns closely with the market’s top outcomes (92–93°F at 40%, 94–95°F at 26.5%), reflecting trader consensus around the official guidance. Recent extreme heat—Denver hit 102°F on August 3 and posted multiple 95–98°F days—has established a warm baseline, yet increasing moisture and convective activity are expected to limit peak heating through cloud cover and evaporative cooling from storms. Model consensus from NWS shows modest day-to-day cooling as a weak front or trough enhances instability without strong downslope warming. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum at Denver’s primary observing site; afternoon convection could shave several degrees off the high if storms develop earlier or more widely than currently indicated. With the market resolution window closing soon, any updated NWS or local mesonet observations tomorrow morning will be the decisive inputs for traders.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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