Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow's August 11 maximum near 24–26 °C, with modest spread reflecting uncertainty in a transitional pattern. Weak high pressure and limited advection of warmer air from the south-east keep values close to the late-summer climatological mean of roughly 22–24 °C, while any strengthening southerly flow or reduced cloud cover could push readings 1–2 °C higher. Conversely, increased Atlantic moisture or overnight clearing that enhances radiational cooling would favor the lower side of the distribution. Short-range updates from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System over the next 48 hours will narrow the range by refining boundary-layer mixing and cloud trends ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 11 de agosto?
24°C 21%
25°C 21%
23°C 15%
22°C 11%
21°C or below
5%
22°C
11%
23°C
15%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
10%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
24°C 21%
25°C 21%
23°C 15%
22°C 11%
21°C or below
5%
22°C
11%
23°C
15%
24°C
21%
25°C
21%
26°C
10%
27°C
4%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models place Moscow's August 11 maximum near 24–26 °C, with modest spread reflecting uncertainty in a transitional pattern. Weak high pressure and limited advection of warmer air from the south-east keep values close to the late-summer climatological mean of roughly 22–24 °C, while any strengthening southerly flow or reduced cloud cover could push readings 1–2 °C higher. Conversely, increased Atlantic moisture or overnight clearing that enhances radiational cooling would favor the lower side of the distribution. Short-range updates from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System over the next 48 hours will narrow the range by refining boundary-layer mixing and cloud trends ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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