Active southwest monsoon conditions, including enhanced cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across western Luzon, represent the main driver moderating Manila's expected maximum temperature for August 11. Official PAGASA outlooks project highs of 30–32°C with 60–90% rain chances, while long-term August averages reach 31°C; recent low-pressure systems and monsoon flow have increased atmospheric moisture and reduced insolation, favoring the market's leading 29–30°C outcomes at combined 50% implied probability. Model consensus and historical analogs during similar monsoon episodes support this slight cooling relative to clear-sky baselines, with traders incorporating ongoing PAGASA updates through resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Manila em 11 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Manila em 11 de agosto?
29°C 36%
30°C 23%
31°C 16%
28°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
25°C ou menos
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
9%
28°C
16%
29°C
27%
30°C
23%
31°C
16%
32°C
11%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C ou mais
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 23%
31°C 16%
28°C 16%
NOVO
NOVO
11 ago 2026
25°C ou menos
$12 Vol.
1%
26°C
$15 Vol.
5%
27°C
$2 Vol.
9%
28°C
$0 Vol.
16%
29°C
$6 Vol.
27%
30°C
$0 Vol.
23%
31°C
$0 Vol.
16%
32°C
$0 Vol.
11%
33°C
$27 Vol.
1%
34°C
$5 Vol.
2%
35°C ou mais
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including enhanced cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across western Luzon, represent the main driver moderating Manila's expected maximum temperature for August 11. Official PAGASA outlooks project highs of 30–32°C with 60–90% rain chances, while long-term August averages reach 31°C; recent low-pressure systems and monsoon flow have increased atmospheric moisture and reduced insolation, favoring the market's leading 29–30°C outcomes at combined 50% implied probability. Model consensus and historical analogs during similar monsoon episodes support this slight cooling relative to clear-sky baselines, with traders incorporating ongoing PAGASA updates through resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$78Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including enhanced cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across western Luzon, represent the main driver moderating Manila's expected maximum temperature for August 11. Official PAGASA outlooks project highs of 30–32°C with 60–90% rain chances, while long-term August averages reach 31°C; recent low-pressure systems and monsoon flow have increased atmospheric moisture and reduced insolation, favoring the market's leading 29–30°C outcomes at combined 50% implied probability. Model consensus and historical analogs during similar monsoon episodes support this slight cooling relative to clear-sky baselines, with traders incorporating ongoing PAGASA updates through resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$78Data de Término
11 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Active southwest monsoon conditions, including enhanced cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and heavy rainfall across western Luzon, represent the main driver moderating Manila's expected maximum temperature for August 11. Official PAGASA outlooks project highs of 30–32°C with 60–90% rain chances, while long-term August averages reach 31°C; recent low-pressure systems and monsoon flow have increased atmospheric moisture and reduced insolation, favoring the market's leading 29–30°C outcomes at combined 50% implied probability. Model consensus and historical analogs during similar monsoon episodes support this slight cooling relative to clear-sky baselines, with traders incorporating ongoing PAGASA updates through resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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