Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible for Chicago on August 12, supporting market-implied odds favoring 80–83°F highs. These conditions, driven by a lingering mid-level trough and modest moisture, contrast with clearer, warmer setups that could push readings to 84–85°F. Lake Michigan’s influence via lake breezes further caps peak temperatures near the shoreline and O’Hare station, aligning with the 1991–2020 August normal of roughly 83°F. Model spread on convective timing and coverage creates the close contest between 82–83°F (35%) and 80–81°F (26.5%), with higher outcomes discounted absent strong ridging. Updated NWS forecasts and short-range guidance expected tomorrow will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chicago em 12 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Chicago em 12 de agosto?
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 12%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
77°F ou menos
3%
78-79°F
12%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
6%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
<1%
34-35°C
<1%
96°F ou mais
<1%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 25%
84-85°F 19%
78-79°F 12%
NOVO
NOVO
12 ago 2026
77°F ou menos
$39 Vol.
3%
78-79°F
$408 Vol.
12%
80-81°F
$327 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$78 Vol.
34%
84-85°F
$174 Vol.
19%
86-87°F
$259 Vol.
6%
88-89°F
$192 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$900 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
34-35°C
$12 Vol.
<1%
96°F ou mais
$1 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible for Chicago on August 12, supporting market-implied odds favoring 80–83°F highs. These conditions, driven by a lingering mid-level trough and modest moisture, contrast with clearer, warmer setups that could push readings to 84–85°F. Lake Michigan’s influence via lake breezes further caps peak temperatures near the shoreline and O’Hare station, aligning with the 1991–2020 August normal of roughly 83°F. Model spread on convective timing and coverage creates the close contest between 82–83°F (35%) and 80–81°F (26.5%), with higher outcomes discounted absent strong ridging. Updated NWS forecasts and short-range guidance expected tomorrow will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$2,395Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible for Chicago on August 12, supporting market-implied odds favoring 80–83°F highs. These conditions, driven by a lingering mid-level trough and modest moisture, contrast with clearer, warmer setups that could push readings to 84–85°F. Lake Michigan’s influence via lake breezes further caps peak temperatures near the shoreline and O’Hare station, aligning with the 1991–2020 August normal of roughly 83°F. Model spread on convective timing and coverage creates the close contest between 82–83°F (35%) and 80–81°F (26.5%), with higher outcomes discounted absent strong ridging. Updated NWS forecasts and short-range guidance expected tomorrow will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,395Data de Término
12 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and thunderstorms possible for Chicago on August 12, supporting market-implied odds favoring 80–83°F highs. These conditions, driven by a lingering mid-level trough and modest moisture, contrast with clearer, warmer setups that could push readings to 84–85°F. Lake Michigan’s influence via lake breezes further caps peak temperatures near the shoreline and O’Hare station, aligning with the 1991–2020 August normal of roughly 83°F. Model spread on convective timing and coverage creates the close contest between 82–83°F (35%) and 80–81°F (26.5%), with higher outcomes discounted absent strong ridging. Updated NWS forecasts and short-range guidance expected tomorrow will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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