Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum of 32–34°C for Panama City on August 12, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 87%. In Panama's wet-season tropical climate, afternoon convection and cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically cap temperatures near the seasonal average of 32°C, while clearer intervals or delayed rainfall could allow brief spikes to 34°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels explains the narrow spread, with any last-minute shifts in satellite observations or updated runs likely to refine resolution between the leading bins before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do Panamá em 12 de agosto?
33°C 40%
32°C 32%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
32%
33°C
40%
34°C
17%
35°C
2%
36°C ou mais
1%
33°C 40%
32°C 32%
34°C 17%
31°C 12%
26°C ou menos
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
12%
32°C
32%
33°C
40%
34°C
17%
35°C
2%
36°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from meteorological agencies converge on a daily maximum of 32–34°C for Panama City on August 12, aligning with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 87%. In Panama's wet-season tropical climate, afternoon convection and cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone typically cap temperatures near the seasonal average of 32°C, while clearer intervals or delayed rainfall could allow brief spikes to 34°C. Model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels explains the narrow spread, with any last-minute shifts in satellite observations or updated runs likely to refine resolution between the leading bins before market close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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