Trader sentiment centers on forecasts projecting a daily high of 24–26°C for Mexico City on August 12, consistent with typical rainy-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover from the North American monsoon limit solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures near the long-term August average of 24°C while preventing spikes above 27°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles show stable steering patterns with light easterly flow and 30–50% rain chances, aligning with observed highs of 23–25°C in early August. Official updates from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international guidance on August 12 morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution based on verified station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 12 de agosto?
25°C 45%
26°C 36%
24°C 11%
27°C 6%
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
45%
26°C
36%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C ou mais
1%
25°C 45%
26°C 36%
24°C 11%
27°C 6%
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
45%
26°C
36%
27°C
6%
28°C
2%
29°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on forecasts projecting a daily high of 24–26°C for Mexico City on August 12, consistent with typical rainy-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation. Afternoon convection and widespread cloud cover from the North American monsoon limit solar heating, keeping maximum temperatures near the long-term August average of 24°C while preventing spikes above 27°C. Recent model runs from global ensembles show stable steering patterns with light easterly flow and 30–50% rain chances, aligning with observed highs of 23–25°C in early August. Official updates from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international guidance on August 12 morning will refine these ranges ahead of market resolution based on verified station readings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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