Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C for Mexico City’s August 11 high because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and the Met Office project a maximum near 24–26°C amid typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers, common during the peak of the wet season, frequently limit daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, keeping temperatures close to the 24°C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong signals for anomalous heat or unusually suppressed maxima, so probabilities cluster tightly around the historical norm while assigning low odds to extremes below 23°C or above 27°C. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 11 de agosto?
25°C 48%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 4%
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
26%
25°C
48%
26°C
20%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
1%
25°C 48%
24°C 26%
26°C 20%
23°C 4%
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
26%
25°C
48%
26°C
20%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 24–26°C for Mexico City’s August 11 high because official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and the Met Office project a maximum near 24–26°C amid typical rainy-season conditions. Afternoon cloud build-up and scattered showers, common during the peak of the wet season, frequently limit daytime warming at the city’s 2,240 m elevation, keeping temperatures close to the 24°C August climatological average. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no strong signals for anomalous heat or unusually suppressed maxima, so probabilities cluster tightly around the historical norm while assigning low odds to extremes below 23°C or above 27°C. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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