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Política·áfrica

Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana

icon for Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana
Política·áfrica

Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana

Bola Tinubu 70%

Peter Obi 24%

Rotimi Amaechi 4.1%

Rabiu Kwankwaso 1.3%

Polymarket

$31,334 Vol.

Bola Tinubu 70%

Peter Obi 24%

Rotimi Amaechi 4.1%

Rabiu Kwankwaso 1.3%

Polymarket

$31,334 Vol.

icon for Bola Tinubu

Bola Tinubu

$15,460 Vol.

70%

icon for Peter Obi

Peter Obi

$6,434 Vol.

24%

icon for Rotimi Amaechi

Rotimi Amaechi

$3,029 Vol.

4%

icon for Rabiu Kwankwaso

Rabiu Kwankwaso

$2,420 Vol.

1%

icon for Omoyele Sowore

Omoyele Sowore

$3,992 Vol.

1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu secured the All Progressives Congress nomination for the January 2027 presidential election through a May 2026 direct primary that delivered overwhelming internal support. This outcome, combined with the collapse of an earlier opposition coalition under the African Democratic Congress, has positioned the incumbent as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments. Peter Obi, confirmed as the Nigerian Democratic Congress flagbearer after defecting from the fractured alliance alongside Rabiu Kwankwaso, remains the strongest alternative but faces a divided field that includes multiple other party nominees. Persistent regional voting patterns, the advantages of incumbency and party structures, and the absence of a unified opposition challenge continue to shape market pricing ahead of the vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volume
$31,334
Data de Término
16 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu secured the All Progressives Congress nomination for the January 2027 presidential election through a May 2026 direct primary that delivered overwhelming internal support. This outcome, combined with the collapse of an earlier opposition coalition under the African Democratic Congress, has positioned the incumbent as the clear frontrunner in trader assessments. Peter Obi, confirmed as the Nigerian Democratic Congress flagbearer after defecting from the fractured alliance alongside Rabiu Kwankwaso, remains the strongest alternative but faces a divided field that includes multiple other party nominees. Persistent regional voting patterns, the advantages of incumbency and party structures, and the absence of a unified opposition challenge continue to shape market pricing ahead of the vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volume
$31,334
Data de Término
16 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bola Tinubu" at 70%, followed by "Peter Obi" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 70¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana" has generated $31.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2027. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana" is "Bola Tinubu" at 70%, meaning the market assigns a 70% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Peter Obi" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição presidencial nigeriana" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.