Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C for Moscow on August 15 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation. This positions the 20°C outcome as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting traders' assessment of stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer thermal patterns. Recent model updates have narrowed the range around 19–21°C, consistent with observed August climatology of daily highs near 22°C but tempered by current cooler advection. Upcoming forecast refreshes over the next 48 hours will likely refine any shifts from evolving steering flows or cloud cover.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Moscovo a 15 de agosto?
20°C 51%
19°C 27%
21°C 16%
18°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
5%
19°C
27%
20°C
51%
21°C
16%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 51%
19°C 27%
21°C 16%
18°C 5%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
15°C or below
$392 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$24 Vol.
3%
17°C
$414 Vol.
1%
18°C
$266 Vol.
5%
19°C
$458 Vol.
27%
20°C
$730 Vol.
51%
21°C
$313 Vol.
16%
22°C
$252 Vol.
5%
23°C
$132 Vol.
2%
24°C
$163 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$196 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C for Moscow on August 15 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation. This positions the 20°C outcome as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting traders' assessment of stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer thermal patterns. Recent model updates have narrowed the range around 19–21°C, consistent with observed August climatology of daily highs near 22°C but tempered by current cooler advection. Upcoming forecast refreshes over the next 48 hours will likely refine any shifts from evolving steering flows or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$3,339Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C for Moscow on August 15 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation. This positions the 20°C outcome as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting traders' assessment of stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer thermal patterns. Recent model updates have narrowed the range around 19–21°C, consistent with observed August climatology of daily highs near 22°C but tempered by current cooler advection. Upcoming forecast refreshes over the next 48 hours will likely refine any shifts from evolving steering flows or cloud cover.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,339Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C for Moscow on August 15 under partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation. This positions the 20°C outcome as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting traders' assessment of stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer thermal patterns. Recent model updates have narrowed the range around 19–21°C, consistent with observed August climatology of daily highs near 22°C but tempered by current cooler advection. Upcoming forecast refreshes over the next 48 hours will likely refine any shifts from evolving steering flows or cloud cover.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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