Current forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate London will see sunny intervals on August 15 under a lingering warm spell, with daytime highs near 26–27°C and overnight lows around 15–16°C. Trader consensus favoring 19–21°C as the most probable daily minimum reflects above-average temperatures persisting through the night, driven by light winds, clear skies limiting radiative cooling, and the broader pattern of a record-warm 2026 summer so far. Recent model runs show limited cooling potential overnight amid this setup, though any increase in cloud cover or wind could pull the minimum lower toward historical August norms near 13–14°C. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 15 de agosto?
20°C 44%
21°C 27%
19°C 24%
22°C 8%
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
24%
20°C
44%
21°C
27%
22°C
8%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
1%
20°C 44%
21°C 27%
19°C 24%
22°C 8%
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
24%
20°C
44%
21°C
27%
22°C
8%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Met Office and BBC indicate London will see sunny intervals on August 15 under a lingering warm spell, with daytime highs near 26–27°C and overnight lows around 15–16°C. Trader consensus favoring 19–21°C as the most probable daily minimum reflects above-average temperatures persisting through the night, driven by light winds, clear skies limiting radiative cooling, and the broader pattern of a record-warm 2026 summer so far. Recent model runs show limited cooling potential overnight amid this setup, though any increase in cloud cover or wind could pull the minimum lower toward historical August norms near 13–14°C. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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