Recent cooling after an intense mid-August heatwave across northern France has positioned 18–19°C as the leading outcomes in trader sentiment, with combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to more moderate northerly flow and increased cloud cover on the night of August 15–16, limiting radiative cooling while keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal 15°C baseline. Persistent uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers contributes to the split between the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins. Updated high-resolution forecasts and overnight observations expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 16 de agosto?
19°C 47%
18°C ou menos 36%
20°C 11%
21°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
18°C ou menos
36%
19°C
47%
20°C
11%
21°C
10%
22°C
6%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C ou mais
<1%
19°C 47%
18°C ou menos 36%
20°C 11%
21°C 9%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
18°C ou menos
$983 Vol.
36%
19°C
$390 Vol.
47%
20°C
$33 Vol.
11%
21°C
$512 Vol.
10%
22°C
$36 Vol.
6%
23°C
$53 Vol.
1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
28°C ou mais
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an intense mid-August heatwave across northern France has positioned 18–19°C as the leading outcomes in trader sentiment, with combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to more moderate northerly flow and increased cloud cover on the night of August 15–16, limiting radiative cooling while keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal 15°C baseline. Persistent uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers contributes to the split between the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins. Updated high-resolution forecasts and overnight observations expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,063Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling after an intense mid-August heatwave across northern France has positioned 18–19°C as the leading outcomes in trader sentiment, with combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to more moderate northerly flow and increased cloud cover on the night of August 15–16, limiting radiative cooling while keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal 15°C baseline. Persistent uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers contributes to the split between the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins. Updated high-resolution forecasts and overnight observations expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,063Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling after an intense mid-August heatwave across northern France has positioned 18–19°C as the leading outcomes in trader sentiment, with combined implied probabilities exceeding 80%. Official guidance from Météo-France and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS indicate a shift to more moderate northerly flow and increased cloud cover on the night of August 15–16, limiting radiative cooling while keeping minimum temperatures above the seasonal 15°C baseline. Persistent uncertainty in exact boundary-layer moisture and timing of any showers contributes to the split between the 19°C and 18°C-or-below bins. Updated high-resolution forecasts and overnight observations expected over the next 48 hours will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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