Recent ensemble forecasts from the KNMI HARMONIE-AROME and ECMWF IFS models show the highest daily maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 16 most likely falling between 22°C and 23°C, reflecting a transitional pattern with moderate northerly flow and North Sea influence moderating continental warmth. Traders have closely weighted these two outcomes because model runs through mid-August continue to exhibit small spread in boundary-layer temperatures and cloud cover, with limited potential for stronger high pressure or clearer skies to push readings to 24°C or above. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, yet current observational trends and 48-hour forecast updates remain the dominant near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Amesterdão a 16 de agosto?
23°C 39%
22°C 32%
24°C 16%
21°C 8%
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
32%
23°C
39%
24°C
16%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
23°C 39%
22°C 32%
24°C 16%
21°C 8%
19°C ou menos
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
32%
23°C
39%
24°C
16%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the KNMI HARMONIE-AROME and ECMWF IFS models show the highest daily maximum temperature in Amsterdam on August 16 most likely falling between 22°C and 23°C, reflecting a transitional pattern with moderate northerly flow and North Sea influence moderating continental warmth. Traders have closely weighted these two outcomes because model runs through mid-August continue to exhibit small spread in boundary-layer temperatures and cloud cover, with limited potential for stronger high pressure or clearer skies to push readings to 24°C or above. Historical August averages near 21–22°C provide context, yet current observational trends and 48-hour forecast updates remain the dominant near-term drivers ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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