Short-range ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office show a tight cluster of possible overnight minimum temperatures in London on August 16 centered near 17–18 °C, reflecting light southwesterly winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in nocturnal cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology places typical London minima around 15–16 °C, so current conditions imply slightly above-average overnight temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these dynamical factors against the narrow forecast window remaining before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 16 de agosto?
17°C 36%
18°C 33%
16°C 25%
19°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
14°C ou menos
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
25%
17°C
36%
18°C
33%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
17°C 36%
18°C 33%
16°C 25%
19°C 7%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
14°C ou menos
$83 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$363 Vol.
2%
16°C
$1,399 Vol.
25%
17°C
$2,304 Vol.
36%
18°C
$1,540 Vol.
33%
19°C
$691 Vol.
7%
20°C
$145 Vol.
1%
21°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$131 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$141 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou mais
$151 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office show a tight cluster of possible overnight minimum temperatures in London on August 16 centered near 17–18 °C, reflecting light southwesterly winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in nocturnal cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology places typical London minima around 15–16 °C, so current conditions imply slightly above-average overnight temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these dynamical factors against the narrow forecast window remaining before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$7,087Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office show a tight cluster of possible overnight minimum temperatures in London on August 16 centered near 17–18 °C, reflecting light southwesterly winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in nocturnal cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology places typical London minima around 15–16 °C, so current conditions imply slightly above-average overnight temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these dynamical factors against the narrow forecast window remaining before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,087Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office show a tight cluster of possible overnight minimum temperatures in London on August 16 centered near 17–18 °C, reflecting light southwesterly winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover that limit radiational cooling. Model spread arises mainly from uncertainty in nocturnal cloud thickness and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August climatology places typical London minima around 15–16 °C, so current conditions imply slightly above-average overnight temperatures. Traders appear to weigh these dynamical factors against the narrow forecast window remaining before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions