Recent high-pressure dominance across southern England has sustained above-average temperatures through mid-August, with London peaking near 34°C earlier in the week before a gradual cooling trend. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a shift toward fresher Atlantic air by August 16, moderating daytime maxima to the mid-20s Celsius range under partly cloudy skies. Historical August baselines average 21–22°C, yet persistent warmth raises the chance of 26–27°C if residual heat lingers or insolation increases. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–26°C because short-range model runs show modest day-to-day variability, with resolution hinging on precise maximum readings from official London stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 16 de agosto?
26°C 30%
25°C 26%
27°C 20%
24°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
20%
28°C
8%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 30%
25°C 26%
27°C 20%
24°C 14%
NOVO
NOVO
16 ago 2026
23°C or below
$920 Vol.
5%
24°C
$711 Vol.
14%
25°C
$2,188 Vol.
26%
26°C
$670 Vol.
30%
27°C
$483 Vol.
20%
28°C
$283 Vol.
8%
29°C
$134 Vol.
1%
30°C
$401 Vol.
1%
31°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$452 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance across southern England has sustained above-average temperatures through mid-August, with London peaking near 34°C earlier in the week before a gradual cooling trend. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a shift toward fresher Atlantic air by August 16, moderating daytime maxima to the mid-20s Celsius range under partly cloudy skies. Historical August baselines average 21–22°C, yet persistent warmth raises the chance of 26–27°C if residual heat lingers or insolation increases. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–26°C because short-range model runs show modest day-to-day variability, with resolution hinging on precise maximum readings from official London stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$6,892Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance across southern England has sustained above-average temperatures through mid-August, with London peaking near 34°C earlier in the week before a gradual cooling trend. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a shift toward fresher Atlantic air by August 16, moderating daytime maxima to the mid-20s Celsius range under partly cloudy skies. Historical August baselines average 21–22°C, yet persistent warmth raises the chance of 26–27°C if residual heat lingers or insolation increases. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–26°C because short-range model runs show modest day-to-day variability, with resolution hinging on precise maximum readings from official London stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,892Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance across southern England has sustained above-average temperatures through mid-August, with London peaking near 34°C earlier in the week before a gradual cooling trend. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF indicate a shift toward fresher Atlantic air by August 16, moderating daytime maxima to the mid-20s Celsius range under partly cloudy skies. Historical August baselines average 21–22°C, yet persistent warmth raises the chance of 26–27°C if residual heat lingers or insolation increases. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 25–26°C because short-range model runs show modest day-to-day variability, with resolution hinging on precise maximum readings from official London stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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