Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 15 project a daytime maximum of 28°C under sunny intervals and high pressure, following a spell of above-average warmth across southern England. Numerical weather models show modest spread in peak values due to uncertainties in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the most likely outcomes clustered between 25°C and 28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C, incorporates this ensemble range alongside historical August variability at the official London City Airport resolution station. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to frontal timing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift sentiment before settlement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Londres no dia 15 de agosto?
26°C 37%
27°C 27%
25°C 19%
28°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
19%
26°C
37%
27°C
27%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
27°C 27%
25°C 19%
28°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
20°C or below
$710 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$489 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$90 Vol.
1%
24°C
$534 Vol.
5%
25°C
$165 Vol.
19%
26°C
$484 Vol.
37%
27°C
$589 Vol.
27%
28°C
$264 Vol.
11%
29°C
$481 Vol.
3%
30°C or higher
$353 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 15 project a daytime maximum of 28°C under sunny intervals and high pressure, following a spell of above-average warmth across southern England. Numerical weather models show modest spread in peak values due to uncertainties in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the most likely outcomes clustered between 25°C and 28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C, incorporates this ensemble range alongside historical August variability at the official London City Airport resolution station. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to frontal timing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift sentiment before settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$4,416Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 15 project a daytime maximum of 28°C under sunny intervals and high pressure, following a spell of above-average warmth across southern England. Numerical weather models show modest spread in peak values due to uncertainties in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the most likely outcomes clustered between 25°C and 28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C, incorporates this ensemble range alongside historical August variability at the official London City Airport resolution station. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to frontal timing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift sentiment before settlement.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,416Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London on August 15 project a daytime maximum of 28°C under sunny intervals and high pressure, following a spell of above-average warmth across southern England. Numerical weather models show modest spread in peak values due to uncertainties in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, keeping the most likely outcomes clustered between 25°C and 28°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C, incorporates this ensemble range alongside historical August variability at the official London City Airport resolution station. Updated model runs and any late adjustments to frontal timing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift sentiment before settlement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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