Recent short-term forecasts position 36–38°C as the leading outcomes for Chengdu’s August 13 high, with models showing partly cloudy skies and light winds limiting overnight cooling while daytime solar heating peaks near 36°C. High humidity from the East Asian monsoon elevates perceived temperatures and supports modest intensification if clearer conditions develop, consistent with mid-August climatology that routinely sees 30–35°C averages and occasional spikes above 37°C. A powerful storm on August 5 delivered heavy rain that temporarily suppressed temperatures, but subsequent clear days have allowed rebound. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date will refine whether the peak settles at 36°C or edges higher.