Current forecast consensus from models points to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 13, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and potential for afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating. Recent runs show modest variability driven by steering patterns and localized convection, keeping outcomes tightly clustered as traders weigh ensemble spread against climatological baselines of 32°C highs. Factors differentiating the leading bins include precise timing of cloud cover and moisture influx, which can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 13 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Shenzhen em 13 de agosto?
34°C 31%
33°C 26%
35°C 20%
32°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
28°C ou menos
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
15%
33°C
26%
34°C
31%
35°C
20%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C ou mais
1%
34°C 31%
33°C 26%
35°C 20%
32°C 15%
NOVO
NOVO
13 ago 2026
28°C ou menos
$10 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$59 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
8%
32°C
$3 Vol.
15%
33°C
$21 Vol.
26%
34°C
$6 Vol.
31%
35°C
$32 Vol.
20%
36°C
$107 Vol.
6%
37°C
$133 Vol.
1%
38°C ou mais
$731 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models points to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 13, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and potential for afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating. Recent runs show modest variability driven by steering patterns and localized convection, keeping outcomes tightly clustered as traders weigh ensemble spread against climatological baselines of 32°C highs. Factors differentiating the leading bins include precise timing of cloud cover and moisture influx, which can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,101Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models points to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 13, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and potential for afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating. Recent runs show modest variability driven by steering patterns and localized convection, keeping outcomes tightly clustered as traders weigh ensemble spread against climatological baselines of 32°C highs. Factors differentiating the leading bins include precise timing of cloud cover and moisture influx, which can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,101Data de Término
13 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models points to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Shenzhen on August 13, reflecting typical subtropical summer conditions with high humidity and potential for afternoon thunderstorms that can limit peak heating. Recent runs show modest variability driven by steering patterns and localized convection, keeping outcomes tightly clustered as traders weigh ensemble spread against climatological baselines of 32°C highs. Factors differentiating the leading bins include precise timing of cloud cover and moisture influx, which can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C. Updated model guidance and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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