Trader consensus around 18–19°C for London's lowest temperature on August 17 reflects closely aligned ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF models, which currently project overnight lows in that narrow range under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and a modest northerly flow component explain the split between the two leading outcomes, as clearer skies could allow slightly greater radiational cooling toward 18°C while increased moisture or wind would hold minima nearer 19°C. With resolution just two days away, any updated model runs incorporating fresh observational data from upstream Atlantic buoys will likely sharpen the implied probabilities before the market closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 17 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Londres no dia 17 de agosto?
18°C 41%
19°C 31%
17°C 13%
20°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
13°C ou menos
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
13%
18°C
41%
19°C
31%
20°C
12%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C ou mais
<1%
18°C 41%
19°C 31%
17°C 13%
20°C 12%
NOVO
NOVO
17 ago 2026
13°C ou menos
$20 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$10 Vol.
1%
15°C
$16 Vol.
3%
16°C
$20 Vol.
5%
17°C
$87 Vol.
13%
18°C
$149 Vol.
41%
19°C
$397 Vol.
31%
20°C
$968 Vol.
12%
21°C
$25 Vol.
5%
22°C
$15 Vol.
1%
23°C ou mais
$40 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 18–19°C for London's lowest temperature on August 17 reflects closely aligned ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF models, which currently project overnight lows in that narrow range under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and a modest northerly flow component explain the split between the two leading outcomes, as clearer skies could allow slightly greater radiational cooling toward 18°C while increased moisture or wind would hold minima nearer 19°C. With resolution just two days away, any updated model runs incorporating fresh observational data from upstream Atlantic buoys will likely sharpen the implied probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$1,747Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 18–19°C for London's lowest temperature on August 17 reflects closely aligned ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF models, which currently project overnight lows in that narrow range under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and a modest northerly flow component explain the split between the two leading outcomes, as clearer skies could allow slightly greater radiational cooling toward 18°C while increased moisture or wind would hold minima nearer 19°C. With resolution just two days away, any updated model runs incorporating fresh observational data from upstream Atlantic buoys will likely sharpen the implied probabilities before the market closes.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,747Data de Término
17 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 18–19°C for London's lowest temperature on August 17 reflects closely aligned ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF models, which currently project overnight lows in that narrow range under a weakening high-pressure ridge. Subtle differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and a modest northerly flow component explain the split between the two leading outcomes, as clearer skies could allow slightly greater radiational cooling toward 18°C while increased moisture or wind would hold minima nearer 19°C. With resolution just two days away, any updated model runs incorporating fresh observational data from upstream Atlantic buoys will likely sharpen the implied probabilities before the market closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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