Recent National Weather Service and commercial forecasts for downtown Los Angeles on August 14 point to a daily high near 76–79 °F, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. Model consensus shows light southwesterly winds and patchy morning fog giving way to partial afternoon clearing, keeping temperatures below the August climatological average of 84 °F. Traders have placed the strongest probability on the 76–77 °F bin, reflecting the narrow spread in guidance and the moderating influence of the Pacific. No significant warming trend or heat advection is expected before resolution, though minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could still shift the final observed maximum within the tightly clustered 74–79 °F range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Los Angeles em 14 de agosto?
76-77°F 57%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 5%
65°F ou menos
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
57%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F ou mais
1%
76-77°F 57%
74-75°F 32%
78-79°F 8%
72-73°F 5%
65°F ou menos
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
32%
76-77°F
57%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F ou mais
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and commercial forecasts for downtown Los Angeles on August 14 point to a daily high near 76–79 °F, driven by a persistent marine layer and onshore flow that limits daytime heating along the coast. Model consensus shows light southwesterly winds and patchy morning fog giving way to partial afternoon clearing, keeping temperatures below the August climatological average of 84 °F. Traders have placed the strongest probability on the 76–77 °F bin, reflecting the narrow spread in guidance and the moderating influence of the Pacific. No significant warming trend or heat advection is expected before resolution, though minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could still shift the final observed maximum within the tightly clustered 74–79 °F range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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