Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 17, 2026, project overnight lows near 23–24°C amid cloudy conditions with scattered showers, driving the near-even market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent Pacific High pressure and above-normal seasonal temperatures sustain elevated baselines, while urban heat island effects and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling. Minor forecast variations in shower timing, wind patterns, and cloud cover create the narrow edge between 23°C and 24°C, with models showing limited divergence this close to the date. Historical August minima average 23.6°C, providing context for trader focus on any last model updates or observational shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 17 de agosto?
24°C 43%
23°C 42%
21°C 5%
22°C 5%
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
42%
24°C
43%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 43%
23°C 42%
21°C 5%
22°C 5%
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
42%
24°C
43%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 17, 2026, project overnight lows near 23–24°C amid cloudy conditions with scattered showers, driving the near-even market-implied odds for those outcomes. Persistent Pacific High pressure and above-normal seasonal temperatures sustain elevated baselines, while urban heat island effects and high humidity limit nighttime radiative cooling. Minor forecast variations in shower timing, wind patterns, and cloud cover create the narrow edge between 23°C and 24°C, with models showing limited divergence this close to the date. Historical August minima average 23.6°C, providing context for trader focus on any last model updates or observational shifts before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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