Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 16 indicate cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, which are moderating daytime heating and positioning 28–29°C as the leading outcomes with combined market-implied odds near 65%. Persistent cloud cover limits solar radiation and surface warming compared to typical mid-August conditions under a strong Pacific high, while humidity remains elevated around 70–80%. Historical JMA normals place the average high near 31°C, but the current pattern aligns with cooler analogs featuring weak frontal influences. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with limited upside risk for 30°C+ absent rapid clearing. Updated JMA guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine the final distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 16 de agosto?
29°C 40%
28°C 28%
30°C 17%
27°C 5%
NOVO
$19,081 Vol.
NOVO
$19,081 Vol.
16 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
28%
29°C
40%
30°C
17%
31°C
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 40%
28°C 28%
30°C 17%
27°C 5%
NOVO
$19,081 Vol.
NOVO
$19,081 Vol.
16 ago 2026
24°C or below
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$502 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$574 Vol.
1%
27°C
$3,784 Vol.
5%
28°C
$1,536 Vol.
28%
29°C
$2,394 Vol.
40%
30°C
$3,449 Vol.
17%
31°C
$1,243 Vol.
4%
32°C
$2,210 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,599 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$613 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 16 indicate cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, which are moderating daytime heating and positioning 28–29°C as the leading outcomes with combined market-implied odds near 65%. Persistent cloud cover limits solar radiation and surface warming compared to typical mid-August conditions under a strong Pacific high, while humidity remains elevated around 70–80%. Historical JMA normals place the average high near 31°C, but the current pattern aligns with cooler analogs featuring weak frontal influences. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with limited upside risk for 30°C+ absent rapid clearing. Updated JMA guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$19,081Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 16 indicate cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, which are moderating daytime heating and positioning 28–29°C as the leading outcomes with combined market-implied odds near 65%. Persistent cloud cover limits solar radiation and surface warming compared to typical mid-August conditions under a strong Pacific high, while humidity remains elevated around 70–80%. Historical JMA normals place the average high near 31°C, but the current pattern aligns with cooler analogs featuring weak frontal influences. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with limited upside risk for 30°C+ absent rapid clearing. Updated JMA guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,081Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo on August 16 indicate cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, which are moderating daytime heating and positioning 28–29°C as the leading outcomes with combined market-implied odds near 65%. Persistent cloud cover limits solar radiation and surface warming compared to typical mid-August conditions under a strong Pacific high, while humidity remains elevated around 70–80%. Historical JMA normals place the average high near 31°C, but the current pattern aligns with cooler analogs featuring weak frontal influences. Traders are weighting these near-term model runs heavily, with limited upside risk for 30°C+ absent rapid clearing. Updated JMA guidance and observational data ahead of resolution will refine the final distribution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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