Recent high-pressure dominance and clear skies over southern Germany have positioned Munich for daytime maxima near 33–34°C on August 15, according to DWD and ECMWF guidance, with ensemble spreads supporting a modest chance of 35°C under optimal insolation and light southerly flow. Official short-range runs cluster tightly around these values, consistent with the market’s leading 35°C (43.5%) and 34°C (25.5%) outcomes, while the lower tail for 36°C+ reflects limited additional warming potential before any diurnal peak. Traders appear to weigh the narrow but non-zero upside from model variability against climatological August norms, keeping probabilities concentrated in the low-to-mid 30s ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Munique no dia 15 de agosto?
35°C 44%
34°C 26%
36°C 16%
33°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
11%
34°C
26%
35°C
44%
36°C
16%
37°C
3%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 44%
34°C 26%
36°C 16%
33°C 11%
NOVO
NOVO
15 ago 2026
29°C or below
$142 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$89 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$106 Vol.
1%
32°C
$467 Vol.
1%
33°C
$2,938 Vol.
11%
34°C
$2,039 Vol.
26%
35°C
$2,444 Vol.
44%
36°C
$521 Vol.
16%
37°C
$117 Vol.
3%
38°C
$344 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance and clear skies over southern Germany have positioned Munich for daytime maxima near 33–34°C on August 15, according to DWD and ECMWF guidance, with ensemble spreads supporting a modest chance of 35°C under optimal insolation and light southerly flow. Official short-range runs cluster tightly around these values, consistent with the market’s leading 35°C (43.5%) and 34°C (25.5%) outcomes, while the lower tail for 36°C+ reflects limited additional warming potential before any diurnal peak. Traders appear to weigh the narrow but non-zero upside from model variability against climatological August norms, keeping probabilities concentrated in the low-to-mid 30s ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$9,496Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-pressure dominance and clear skies over southern Germany have positioned Munich for daytime maxima near 33–34°C on August 15, according to DWD and ECMWF guidance, with ensemble spreads supporting a modest chance of 35°C under optimal insolation and light southerly flow. Official short-range runs cluster tightly around these values, consistent with the market’s leading 35°C (43.5%) and 34°C (25.5%) outcomes, while the lower tail for 36°C+ reflects limited additional warming potential before any diurnal peak. Traders appear to weigh the narrow but non-zero upside from model variability against climatological August norms, keeping probabilities concentrated in the low-to-mid 30s ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,496Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-pressure dominance and clear skies over southern Germany have positioned Munich for daytime maxima near 33–34°C on August 15, according to DWD and ECMWF guidance, with ensemble spreads supporting a modest chance of 35°C under optimal insolation and light southerly flow. Official short-range runs cluster tightly around these values, consistent with the market’s leading 35°C (43.5%) and 34°C (25.5%) outcomes, while the lower tail for 36°C+ reflects limited additional warming potential before any diurnal peak. Traders appear to weigh the narrow but non-zero upside from model variability against climatological August norms, keeping probabilities concentrated in the low-to-mid 30s ahead of final observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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