Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) anchor trader consensus at 31°C for the day's maximum, reflecting moderate southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Recent post-typhoon moderation has kept readings below the extreme peaks seen earlier in August, such as the record 36.8°C on August 9, with current observations and model runs converging near this threshold under typical summer humidity and cloud cover. The strong market-implied probability incorporates HKO guidance and historical analogs for mid-August conditions, though clearer intervals or reduced precipitation could allow a brief push to 32°C before evening cooling sets in.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 15 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong no dia 15 de agosto?
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$253,152 Vol.
$253,152 Vol.
15 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
$253,152 Vol.
$253,152 Vol.
15 ago 2026
27°C or below
$4,885 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$33,382 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$32,520 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$24,263 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$33,575 Vol.
100%
32°C
$42,086 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$30,171 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$24,299 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$4,079 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$2,633 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$21,260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) anchor trader consensus at 31°C for the day's maximum, reflecting moderate southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Recent post-typhoon moderation has kept readings below the extreme peaks seen earlier in August, such as the record 36.8°C on August 9, with current observations and model runs converging near this threshold under typical summer humidity and cloud cover. The strong market-implied probability incorporates HKO guidance and historical analogs for mid-August conditions, though clearer intervals or reduced precipitation could allow a brief push to 32°C before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$253,152Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) anchor trader consensus at 31°C for the day's maximum, reflecting moderate southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Recent post-typhoon moderation has kept readings below the extreme peaks seen earlier in August, such as the record 36.8°C on August 9, with current observations and model runs converging near this threshold under typical summer humidity and cloud cover. The strong market-implied probability incorporates HKO guidance and historical analogs for mid-August conditions, though clearer intervals or reduced precipitation could allow a brief push to 32°C before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$253,152Data de Término
15 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) anchor trader consensus at 31°C for the day's maximum, reflecting moderate southwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and scattered showers that limit solar heating. Recent post-typhoon moderation has kept readings below the extreme peaks seen earlier in August, such as the record 36.8°C on August 9, with current observations and model runs converging near this threshold under typical summer humidity and cloud cover. The strong market-implied probability incorporates HKO guidance and historical analogs for mid-August conditions, though clearer intervals or reduced precipitation could allow a brief push to 32°C before evening cooling sets in.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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