Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models favor maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 16, driven by expected cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly flow that moderate daytime heating despite the seasonal background of normal-to-above-normal warmth. These conditions align with historical August climatology near 31–32°C while reducing the risk of extreme peaks seen earlier in the month. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C reflects lingering uncertainty in the timing and extent of convective activity, with higher outcomes requiring clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Updated HKO forecasts and radar trends through the next 24 hours remain the key inputs for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 16 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Hong Kong em 16 de agosto?
32°C 44%
33°C 38%
34°C 10%
31°C 9%
NOVO
$18,476 Vol.
NOVO
$18,476 Vol.
16 ago 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
9%
32°C
44%
33°C
38%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 44%
33°C 38%
34°C 10%
31°C 9%
NOVO
$18,476 Vol.
NOVO
$18,476 Vol.
16 ago 2026
27°C or below
$892 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$444 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$410 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,918 Vol.
2%
31°C
$4,248 Vol.
9%
32°C
$2,096 Vol.
44%
33°C
$3,054 Vol.
38%
34°C
$2,034 Vol.
10%
35°C
$1,297 Vol.
2%
36°C
$1,240 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$841 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models favor maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 16, driven by expected cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly flow that moderate daytime heating despite the seasonal background of normal-to-above-normal warmth. These conditions align with historical August climatology near 31–32°C while reducing the risk of extreme peaks seen earlier in the month. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C reflects lingering uncertainty in the timing and extent of convective activity, with higher outcomes requiring clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Updated HKO forecasts and radar trends through the next 24 hours remain the key inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$18,476Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models favor maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 16, driven by expected cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly flow that moderate daytime heating despite the seasonal background of normal-to-above-normal warmth. These conditions align with historical August climatology near 31–32°C while reducing the risk of extreme peaks seen earlier in the month. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C reflects lingering uncertainty in the timing and extent of convective activity, with higher outcomes requiring clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Updated HKO forecasts and radar trends through the next 24 hours remain the key inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$18,476Data de Término
16 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and ensemble models favor maximum temperatures of 32–33°C on August 16, driven by expected cloud cover, showers, and northeasterly flow that moderate daytime heating despite the seasonal background of normal-to-above-normal warmth. These conditions align with historical August climatology near 31–32°C while reducing the risk of extreme peaks seen earlier in the month. The tight market split between 32°C and 33°C reflects lingering uncertainty in the timing and extent of convective activity, with higher outcomes requiring clearer skies or stronger subsidence. Updated HKO forecasts and radar trends through the next 24 hours remain the key inputs for resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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