Recent confirmation of a localized Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s remote Ituri province—with 13 laboratory-verified cases, 246 suspected infections, and 65 deaths—has not shifted trader consensus away from a 94.5 percent probability of no pandemic in 2026. International health agencies have rapidly deployed contact tracing, vaccines, and supportive care, building on successful containment of the country’s prior 16 outbreaks, including the 2025 Kasai event that ended within three months. Regional insecurity and cross-border movement to Uganda pose containment challenges, yet historical patterns, improved surveillance, and available therapeutics continue to limit escalation risk. New epidemiological updates from WHO and Africa CDC over the coming weeks will provide the clearest test of whether transmission remains contained.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
NOVO
NOVO
31 dez 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of a localized Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s remote Ituri province—with 13 laboratory-verified cases, 246 suspected infections, and 65 deaths—has not shifted trader consensus away from a 94.5 percent probability of no pandemic in 2026. International health agencies have rapidly deployed contact tracing, vaccines, and supportive care, building on successful containment of the country’s prior 16 outbreaks, including the 2025 Kasai event that ended within three months. Regional insecurity and cross-border movement to Uganda pose containment challenges, yet historical patterns, improved surveillance, and available therapeutics continue to limit escalation risk. New epidemiological updates from WHO and Africa CDC over the coming weeks will provide the clearest test of whether transmission remains contained.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volume
$20Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent confirmation of a localized Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s remote Ituri province—with 13 laboratory-verified cases, 246 suspected infections, and 65 deaths—has not shifted trader consensus away from a 94.5 percent probability of no pandemic in 2026. International health agencies have rapidly deployed contact tracing, vaccines, and supportive care, building on successful containment of the country’s prior 16 outbreaks, including the 2025 Kasai event that ended within three months. Regional insecurity and cross-border movement to Uganda pose containment challenges, yet historical patterns, improved surveillance, and available therapeutics continue to limit escalation risk. New epidemiological updates from WHO and Africa CDC over the coming weeks will provide the clearest test of whether transmission remains contained.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$22Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent confirmation of a localized Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo’s remote Ituri province—with 13 laboratory-verified cases, 246 suspected infections, and 65 deaths—has not shifted trader consensus away from a 94.5 percent probability of no pandemic in 2026. International health agencies have rapidly deployed contact tracing, vaccines, and supportive care, building on successful containment of the country’s prior 16 outbreaks, including the 2025 Kasai event that ended within three months. Regional insecurity and cross-border movement to Uganda pose containment challenges, yet historical patterns, improved surveillance, and available therapeutics continue to limit escalation risk. New epidemiological updates from WHO and Africa CDC over the coming weeks will provide the clearest test of whether transmission remains contained.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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