Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models point to an overnight low near 59°F for San Francisco on September 8, supporting the leading 58-59°F market bin at 45.5% implied probability amid mild onshore flow and limited marine layer development. Recent days have featured lows in the mid-to-upper 50s under partly cloudy skies, while September climatology shows an average minimum of about 56°F with potential for greater cooling if stratus thickens or winds weaken. The close spread across 56-63°F ranges reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and local urban heat island effects, with new model runs and observations expected to refine guidance before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in the city's coastal microclimate.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em São Francisco no dia 8 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em São Francisco no dia 8 de setembro?
68°F ou mais 66%
49°F ou menos 62%
58-59°F 55%
62-63°F 49%
NOVO
NOVO
8 set 2026
49°F ou menos
62%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
19%
54-55°F
12%
13,3-13,9°C
31%
58-59°F
45%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
49%
64-65°F
49%
66-67°F
49%
68°F ou mais
66%
68°F ou mais 66%
49°F ou menos 62%
58-59°F 55%
62-63°F 49%
NOVO
NOVO
8 set 2026
49°F ou menos
$0 Vol.
62%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
19%
52-53°F
$5 Vol.
19%
54-55°F
$6 Vol.
12%
13,3-13,9°C
$0 Vol.
31%
58-59°F
$50 Vol.
45%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
49%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
49%
66-67°F
$22 Vol.
49%
68°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models point to an overnight low near 59°F for San Francisco on September 8, supporting the leading 58-59°F market bin at 45.5% implied probability amid mild onshore flow and limited marine layer development. Recent days have featured lows in the mid-to-upper 50s under partly cloudy skies, while September climatology shows an average minimum of about 56°F with potential for greater cooling if stratus thickens or winds weaken. The close spread across 56-63°F ranges reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and local urban heat island effects, with new model runs and observations expected to refine guidance before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in the city's coastal microclimate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$82Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models point to an overnight low near 59°F for San Francisco on September 8, supporting the leading 58-59°F market bin at 45.5% implied probability amid mild onshore flow and limited marine layer development. Recent days have featured lows in the mid-to-upper 50s under partly cloudy skies, while September climatology shows an average minimum of about 56°F with potential for greater cooling if stratus thickens or winds weaken. The close spread across 56-63°F ranges reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and local urban heat island effects, with new model runs and observations expected to refine guidance before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in the city's coastal microclimate.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$82Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 6, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models point to an overnight low near 59°F for San Francisco on September 8, supporting the leading 58-59°F market bin at 45.5% implied probability amid mild onshore flow and limited marine layer development. Recent days have featured lows in the mid-to-upper 50s under partly cloudy skies, while September climatology shows an average minimum of about 56°F with potential for greater cooling if stratus thickens or winds weaken. The close spread across 56-63°F ranges reflects genuine uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and local urban heat island effects, with new model runs and observations expected to refine guidance before resolution. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability in the city's coastal microclimate.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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