AfD's commanding lead in repeated opinion polls since September 2025 underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the party claiming the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtag election on September 20, 2026. Surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA place AfD support at 34–37 percent, well ahead of the governing SPD at 23–26 percent and smaller parties including CDU, Linke, and BSW that remain below or near the 5 percent threshold. This positioning stems from sustained voter priorities on immigration controls and economic conditions in eastern Germany, where the incumbent SPD–Left coalition has faced national headwinds. Traders price AfD as the decisive frontrunner at 86.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the absence of any recent polling reversal that could reopen a realistic path for SPD or others.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor das eleições parlamentares de Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
Vencedor das eleições parlamentares de Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
AfD 87%
SPD 14%
Os Verdes <1%
CDU <1%
$214,168 Vol.
$214,168 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
87%
SPD
14%
Os Verdes
<1%
CDU
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 87%
SPD 14%
Os Verdes <1%
CDU <1%
$214,168 Vol.
$214,168 Vol.
20 set 2026
AfD
$7,473 Vol.
87%
SPD
$36,467 Vol.
14%
Os Verdes
$52,941 Vol.
<1%
CDU
$28,121 Vol.
<1%
FDP
$48,405 Vol.
<1%
BSW
$12,092 Vol.
<1%
Linke
$8,607 Vol.
<1%
FW
$20,062 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD's commanding lead in repeated opinion polls since September 2025 underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the party claiming the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtag election on September 20, 2026. Surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA place AfD support at 34–37 percent, well ahead of the governing SPD at 23–26 percent and smaller parties including CDU, Linke, and BSW that remain below or near the 5 percent threshold. This positioning stems from sustained voter priorities on immigration controls and economic conditions in eastern Germany, where the incumbent SPD–Left coalition has faced national headwinds. Traders price AfD as the decisive frontrunner at 86.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the absence of any recent polling reversal that could reopen a realistic path for SPD or others.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Mercado Aberto: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$214,168Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD's commanding lead in repeated opinion polls since September 2025 underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the party claiming the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtag election on September 20, 2026. Surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA place AfD support at 34–37 percent, well ahead of the governing SPD at 23–26 percent and smaller parties including CDU, Linke, and BSW that remain below or near the 5 percent threshold. This positioning stems from sustained voter priorities on immigration controls and economic conditions in eastern Germany, where the incumbent SPD–Left coalition has faced national headwinds. Traders price AfD as the decisive frontrunner at 86.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the absence of any recent polling reversal that could reopen a realistic path for SPD or others.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Volume
$214,168Data de Término
20 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD's commanding lead in repeated opinion polls since September 2025 underpins the market's heavy tilt toward the party claiming the most seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern's Landtag election on September 20, 2026. Surveys from Infratest dimap, Forsa, and INSA place AfD support at 34–37 percent, well ahead of the governing SPD at 23–26 percent and smaller parties including CDU, Linke, and BSW that remain below or near the 5 percent threshold. This positioning stems from sustained voter priorities on immigration controls and economic conditions in eastern Germany, where the incumbent SPD–Left coalition has faced national headwinds. Traders price AfD as the decisive frontrunner at 86.5 percent implied probability, reflecting the absence of any recent polling reversal that could reopen a realistic path for SPD or others.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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