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icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador da Paraíba
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador da Paraíba

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador da Paraíba
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador da Paraíba

Lucas Ribeiro 82%

Efraim Filho 10%

Cícero Lucena 6%

Nilvan Ferreira 1.2%

Polymarket

$62,653 Vol.

Lucas Ribeiro 82%

Efraim Filho 10%

Cícero Lucena 6%

Nilvan Ferreira 1.2%

Polymarket

$62,653 Vol.

icon for Lucas Ribeiro

Lucas Ribeiro

$18,684 Vol.

82%

icon for Efraim Filho

Efraim Filho

$14,308 Vol.

10%

icon for Cícero Lucena

Cícero Lucena

$20,569 Vol.

6%

icon for Nilvan Ferreira

Nilvan Ferreira

$894 Vol.

1%

icon for Flávio Lúcio

Flávio Lúcio

$876 Vol.

1%

icon for Veneziano Vital do Rêgo

Veneziano Vital do Rêgo

$2,431 Vol.

1%

icon for Romero Rodrigues

Romero Rodrigues

$1,511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marcelo Queiroga

Marcelo Queiroga

$3,381 Vol.

<1%

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, leads the race for the October 4 first-round vote.** Recent polls from late August and early September, including Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Anova, place him at 35–43% in the first round, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 18–25% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 12–30%, with other candidates polling in the low single digits. His advantage stems from incumbency, approval ratings around 60%, and a broad coalition that includes PP, UNIÃO, and allied parties. The opposition remains fragmented, and second-round simulations show Ribeiro ahead of either main rival. A September legal challenge by Lucena alleging improper public-sector hiring has not shifted the polling trend. With the first round less than three weeks away, trader consensus reflects Ribeiro’s consistent lead and structural position heading into voting.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,653
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Lucas Ribeiro (PP), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after João Azevêdo’s resignation to run for Senate, leads the race for the October 4 first-round vote.** Recent polls from late August and early September, including Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Anova, place him at 35–43% in the first round, well ahead of Cícero Lucena (MDB) at 18–25% and Efraim Filho (PL) at 12–30%, with other candidates polling in the low single digits. His advantage stems from incumbency, approval ratings around 60%, and a broad coalition that includes PP, UNIÃO, and allied parties. The opposition remains fragmented, and second-round simulations show Ribeiro ahead of either main rival. A September legal challenge by Lucena alleging improper public-sector hiring has not shifted the polling trend. With the first round less than three weeks away, trader consensus reflects Ribeiro’s consistent lead and structural position heading into voting.

The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$62,653
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador da Paraíba" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Lucas Ribeiro" at 82%, followed by "Efraim Filho" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador da Paraíba" has generated $62.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador da Paraíba," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador da Paraíba" is "Lucas Ribeiro" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Efraim Filho" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador da Paraíba" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.