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icon for Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 1º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 1º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 1º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 1º Lugar

Luciana Mandu 44%

Professor Guilherme 44%

Rafael Motta 44%

Rosália Fernandes 44%

Polymarket
NOVO

Luciana Mandu 44%

Professor Guilherme 44%

Rafael Motta 44%

Rosália Fernandes 44%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Luciana Mandu

Luciana Mandu

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professor Guilherme

Professor Guilherme

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rafael Motta

Rafael Motta

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Rosália Fernandes

Rosália Fernandes

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Samanda de Lula

Samanda de Lula

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Sandro Pimentel

Sandro Pimentel

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Sonia Godeiro

Sonia Godeiro

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Styvenson Valentim

Styvenson Valentim

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Tércio Tinôco

Tércio Tinôco

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Zenaide Maia

Zenaide Maia

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Linhares Jiboia

Linhares Jiboia

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Coronel Hélio

Coronel Hélio

$0 Vol.

40%

icon for Gari Wendell Batista

Gari Wendell Batista

$0 Vol.

38%

icon for Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

Clóvis Costa do Coletivo Nós

$0 Vol.

38%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows a technical tie among leading Senate contenders Styvenson Valentim, Samanda Alves, Coronel Hélio, Rafael Motta, and Zenaide Maia, reflecting a fragmented field of incumbents and challengers from Podemos, PT, PL, PDT, and PSD. This multi-candidate contest for the two open seats keeps first-place probabilities closely balanced, as no single name has consolidated broad support ahead of October voting. Party coalitions, voter turnout in key regions, and late shifts in alliances could widen gaps, while scheduled debates or national political trends may further influence individual momentum before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Rio Grande do Norte shows a technical tie among leading Senate contenders Styvenson Valentim, Samanda Alves, Coronel Hélio, Rafael Motta, and Zenaide Maia, reflecting a fragmented field of incumbents and challengers from Podemos, PT, PL, PDT, and PSD. This multi-candidate contest for the two open seats keeps first-place probabilities closely balanced, as no single name has consolidated broad support ahead of October voting. Party coalitions, voter turnout in key regions, and late shifts in alliances could widen gaps, while scheduled debates or national political trends may further influence individual momentum before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Norte is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 1º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Luciana Mandu" at 45%, followed by "Professor Guilherme" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 1º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 1º Lugar," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 1º Lugar" is "Luciana Mandu" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Professor Guilherme" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado do Rio Grande do Norte: 1º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.