Flávio Bolsonaro’s nomination by the Liberal Party in late July 2026, backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro, has reinforced his position as the leading right-wing contender ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Paraná’s conservative voter base and alignment with Liberal Party priorities on security and economic issues underpin the market’s assessment of his advantage in the state, distinct from tighter national polling between Bolsonaro and incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Other candidates including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos of the Mission Party register lower shares, consistent with limited regional momentum. Scheduled debates and final campaign pushes in the remaining weeks could still influence first-round ordering within Paraná.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição presidencial no Brasil 1º turno: 1º lugar no Paraná
Eleição presidencial no Brasil 1º turno: 1º lugar no Paraná
Flavio Bolsonaro 74%
Ronaldo Caiado 23%
Lula 16%
Escritor Augusto Cury 14.4%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
74%
Ronaldo Caiado
23%
Lula
16%
Escritor Augusto Cury
14%
Renan Santos
13%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
8%
Zema
4%
Clariana Barao
4%
Samara
4%
Rui Costa Pimenta
3%
Edmilson Costa
3%
Hertz Dias
2%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 74%
Ronaldo Caiado 23%
Lula 16%
Escritor Augusto Cury 14.4%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$201 Vol.
74%
Ronaldo Caiado
$182 Vol.
23%
Lula
$47 Vol.
16%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$148 Vol.
14%
Renan Santos
$47 Vol.
13%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$72 Vol.
8%
Zema
$148 Vol.
4%
Clariana Barao
$148 Vol.
4%
Samara
$140 Vol.
4%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$96 Vol.
3%
Edmilson Costa
$148 Vol.
3%
Hertz Dias
$148 Vol.
2%
Pablo Marçal
$130 Vol.
1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro’s nomination by the Liberal Party in late July 2026, backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro, has reinforced his position as the leading right-wing contender ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Paraná’s conservative voter base and alignment with Liberal Party priorities on security and economic issues underpin the market’s assessment of his advantage in the state, distinct from tighter national polling between Bolsonaro and incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Other candidates including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos of the Mission Party register lower shares, consistent with limited regional momentum. Scheduled debates and final campaign pushes in the remaining weeks could still influence first-round ordering within Paraná.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volume
$1,654Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro’s nomination by the Liberal Party in late July 2026, backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro, has reinforced his position as the leading right-wing contender ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Paraná’s conservative voter base and alignment with Liberal Party priorities on security and economic issues underpin the market’s assessment of his advantage in the state, distinct from tighter national polling between Bolsonaro and incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Other candidates including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos of the Mission Party register lower shares, consistent with limited regional momentum. Scheduled debates and final campaign pushes in the remaining weeks could still influence first-round ordering within Paraná.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraná, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraná.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraná. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,654Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro’s nomination by the Liberal Party in late July 2026, backed by his father Jair Bolsonaro, has reinforced his position as the leading right-wing contender ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Paraná’s conservative voter base and alignment with Liberal Party priorities on security and economic issues underpin the market’s assessment of his advantage in the state, distinct from tighter national polling between Bolsonaro and incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Other candidates including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos of the Mission Party register lower shares, consistent with limited regional momentum. Scheduled debates and final campaign pushes in the remaining weeks could still influence first-round ordering within Paraná.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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