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Política·Brasil

Eleição presidencial do Brasil 1º turno: 1º lugar em Roraima

icon for Eleição presidencial do Brasil 1º turno: 1º lugar em Roraima
Política·Brasil

Eleição presidencial do Brasil 1º turno: 1º lugar em Roraima

Flavio Bolsonaro 96.5%

Lula 1.6%

Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Polymarket
NOVO

Flavio Bolsonaro 96.5%

Lula 1.6%

Escritor Augusto Cury <1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$3,272 Vol.

97%

icon for Lula

Lula

$487 Vol.

2%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$366 Vol.

1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$334 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$413 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$444 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$407 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$331 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$327 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Roraima's electorate has long delivered overwhelming support for Jair Bolsonaro's movement, with the former president securing more than 75 percent of the vote there in 2022. Recent polling in the state shows Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party nominee and son of the imprisoned ex-president, leading by margins exceeding 50 points over Lula, consistent with a June 2026 supplemental gubernatorial victory by a PL-backed candidate that Flávio publicly highlighted as a regional signal. Traders have priced this sustained local preference into the 96.5 percent consensus for Flávio taking first place in the October first round, reflecting the state's alignment on security, border issues tied to Venezuelan migration, and agricultural priorities. A split among right-leaning candidates or a sharp national polling reversal could narrow the gap, though such shifts have yet to register in state-level data.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$7,806
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Roraima's electorate has long delivered overwhelming support for Jair Bolsonaro's movement, with the former president securing more than 75 percent of the vote there in 2022. Recent polling in the state shows Flávio Bolsonaro, the Liberal Party nominee and son of the imprisoned ex-president, leading by margins exceeding 50 points over Lula, consistent with a June 2026 supplemental gubernatorial victory by a PL-backed candidate that Flávio publicly highlighted as a regional signal. Traders have priced this sustained local preference into the 96.5 percent consensus for Flávio taking first place in the October first round, reflecting the state's alignment on security, border issues tied to Venezuelan migration, and agricultural priorities. A split among right-leaning candidates or a sharp national polling reversal could narrow the gap, though such shifts have yet to register in state-level data.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$7,806
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição presidencial do Brasil 1º turno: 1º lugar em Roraima" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Flavio Bolsonaro" at 97%, followed by "Lula" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição presidencial do Brasil 1º turno: 1º lugar em Roraima" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição presidencial do Brasil 1º turno: 1º lugar em Roraima," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição presidencial do Brasil 1º turno: 1º lugar em Roraima" is "Flavio Bolsonaro" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lula" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição presidencial do Brasil 1º turno: 1º lugar em Roraima" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.