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icon for Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar

Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar

Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar

Apóstolo Flavio Braga 45%

Professor Osvaldo 44%

Gaguim 40%

Ronaldo Dimas 35%

Polymarket
NOVO

Apóstolo Flavio Braga 45%

Professor Osvaldo 44%

Gaguim 40%

Ronaldo Dimas 35%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Apóstolo Flavio Braga

Apóstolo Flavio Braga

$20 Vol.

45%

icon for Professor Osvaldo

Professor Osvaldo

$20 Vol.

44%

icon for Gaguim

Gaguim

$20 Vol.

40%

icon for Ronaldo Dimas

Ronaldo Dimas

$20 Vol.

35%

icon for Eli Borges

Eli Borges

$20 Vol.

30%

icon for Osvany Luz

Osvany Luz

$20 Vol.

28%

icon for Paulo Mourão

Paulo Mourão

$20 Vol.

28%

icon for Alexandre Guimarães

Alexandre Guimarães

$20 Vol.

27%

icon for Fábio Ribeiro

Fábio Ribeiro

$20 Vol.

26%

icon for Vanderlei Luxemburgo

Vanderlei Luxemburgo

$20 Vol.

19%

icon for Nilton Santos

Nilton Santos

$20 Vol.

16%

icon for Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

Helio Rodrigues Bolsonaro

$20 Vol.

14%

icon for Eduardo Gomes

Eduardo Gomes

$20 Vol.

41%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds the narrowest edge among contenders for first place in the Tocantins Federal Senate race, reflecting his incumbency, established party infrastructure, and recent formalization of the União pelo Tocantins coalition ahead of the October 2026 vote. A July Paraná Pesquisas survey showed him ahead of challengers including Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others, though the field remains fragmented with multiple candidates drawing support from different regional and partisan bases. Trader pricing stays tightly bunched because no decisive late-campaign shift—such as new polling surges, major endorsements, or scandals—has yet separated the pack, leaving room for standard factors like turnout in key municipalities and alliance negotiations to alter relative standings before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$260
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Gomes (PL) holds the narrowest edge among contenders for first place in the Tocantins Federal Senate race, reflecting his incumbency, established party infrastructure, and recent formalization of the União pelo Tocantins coalition ahead of the October 2026 vote. A July Paraná Pesquisas survey showed him ahead of challengers including Alexandre Guimarães (MDB) and others, though the field remains fragmented with multiple candidates drawing support from different regional and partisan bases. Trader pricing stays tightly bunched because no decisive late-campaign shift—such as new polling surges, major endorsements, or scandals—has yet separated the pack, leaving room for standard factors like turnout in key municipalities and alliance negotiations to alter relative standings before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$260
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Tocantins is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apóstolo Flavio Braga" at 45%, followed by "Professor Osvaldo" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar" is "Apóstolo Flavio Braga" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Professor Osvaldo" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado Tocantins: 1º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.