Skip to main content
icon for Eleição para o Senado de Santa Catarina: 1º Lugar

Eleição para o Senado de Santa Catarina: 1º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado de Santa Catarina: 1º Lugar

Eleição para o Senado de Santa Catarina: 1º Lugar

Décio Lima 44%

Lunelli 43%

Marlene Soccas 39%

Carol de Toni 28%

Polymarket
NOVO

Décio Lima 44%

Lunelli 43%

Marlene Soccas 39%

Carol de Toni 28%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Décio Lima

Décio Lima

$16 Vol.

44%

icon for Lunelli

Lunelli

$16 Vol.

43%

icon for Marlene Soccas

Marlene Soccas

$16 Vol.

39%

icon for Carol de Toni

Carol de Toni

$16 Vol.

28%

icon for Esperidião Amin

Esperidião Amin

$16 Vol.

27%

icon for Marcos Dorval

Marcos Dorval

$16 Vol.

27%

icon for Joaninha de Oliveira

Joaninha de Oliveira

$16 Vol.

26%

icon for Carol

Carol

$16 Vol.

26%

icon for Carlos Bolsonaro

Carlos Bolsonaro

$16 Vol.

25%

icon for Jeferson da Rocha

Jeferson da Rocha

$16 Vol.

25%

icon for Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

Túlio de Amorim Pfuetzenreiter

$16 Vol.

25%

icon for Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

Ana Lucia da Silveira Machado

$16 Vol.

24%

icon for Afrânio Boppré

Afrânio Boppré

$16 Vol.

37%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina's 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding edge, with Antídio Lunelli, Décio Lima, Esperidião Amin, and PL nominees Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni clustered near the top in recent surveys. Multiple parties are fielding viable contenders, splitting right-leaning support among established state figures like Amin and newer PL entrants while center-left and other options further divide preferences. July polling from Neokemp illustrated this balance, with first-vote intentions spread across five or more names and second preferences shifting among the leaders. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and additional surveys through October could consolidate backing or expose vulnerabilities, potentially widening gaps ahead of the general election.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$208
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Santa Catarina's 2026 Senate contest for two seats, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a commanding edge, with Antídio Lunelli, Décio Lima, Esperidião Amin, and PL nominees Carlos Bolsonaro and Carol de Toni clustered near the top in recent surveys. Multiple parties are fielding viable contenders, splitting right-leaning support among established state figures like Amin and newer PL entrants while center-left and other options further divide preferences. July polling from Neokemp illustrated this balance, with first-vote intentions spread across five or more names and second preferences shifting among the leaders. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and additional surveys through October could consolidate backing or expose vulnerabilities, potentially widening gaps ahead of the general election.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$208
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Santa Catarina is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado de Santa Catarina: 1º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Décio Lima" at 44%, followed by "Lunelli" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado de Santa Catarina: 1º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado de Santa Catarina: 1º Lugar," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado de Santa Catarina: 1º Lugar" is "Décio Lima" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lunelli" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado de Santa Catarina: 1º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.