Lula maintains a commanding lead for first place in Piauí's October 2026 presidential first round, backed by the state's Northeast political base and consistent polling. Recent Datafolha surveys from mid-September show him at 59% vote intention, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 20% and smaller shares for candidates such as Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema. This aligns with his 74% result in the state during the 2022 first round and reflects stable regional voter patterns ahead of the October 4 vote. Market pricing captures limited scope for late shifts, though unforeseen campaign events or turnout changes in the final weeks could narrow margins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoLula 97.5%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$12,863 Vol.
$12,863 Vol.
4 out 2026
Lula
98%
Rui Costa Pimenta
1%
Clariana Barao
1%
Pablo Marçal
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Zema
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Samara
<1%
Lula 97.5%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$12,863 Vol.
$12,863 Vol.
4 out 2026
Lula
$7,657 Vol.
98%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$418 Vol.
1%
Clariana Barao
$473 Vol.
1%
Pablo Marçal
$500 Vol.
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$412 Vol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$399 Vol.
1%
Zema
$515 Vol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$398 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$480 Vol.
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$419 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$397 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$477 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$320 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead for first place in Piauí's October 2026 presidential first round, backed by the state's Northeast political base and consistent polling. Recent Datafolha surveys from mid-September show him at 59% vote intention, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 20% and smaller shares for candidates such as Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema. This aligns with his 74% result in the state during the 2022 first round and reflects stable regional voter patterns ahead of the October 4 vote. Market pricing captures limited scope for late shifts, though unforeseen campaign events or turnout changes in the final weeks could narrow margins.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Volume
$12,863Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead for first place in Piauí's October 2026 presidential first round, backed by the state's Northeast political base and consistent polling. Recent Datafolha surveys from mid-September show him at 59% vote intention, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 20% and smaller shares for candidates such as Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema. This aligns with his 74% result in the state during the 2022 first round and reflects stable regional voter patterns ahead of the October 4 vote. Market pricing captures limited scope for late shifts, though unforeseen campaign events or turnout changes in the final weeks could narrow margins.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Piauí, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$12,863Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead for first place in Piauí's October 2026 presidential first round, backed by the state's Northeast political base and consistent polling. Recent Datafolha surveys from mid-September show him at 59% vote intention, well ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 20% and smaller shares for candidates such as Augusto Cury, Ronaldo Caiado, and Romeu Zema. This aligns with his 74% result in the state during the 2022 first round and reflects stable regional voter patterns ahead of the October 4 vote. Market pricing captures limited scope for late shifts, though unforeseen campaign events or turnout changes in the final weeks could narrow margins.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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