Skip to main content
icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas
Política·Brasil

Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas

Cabo Daciolo 44%

David Almeida 44%

Omar Aziz 44%

Professora Maria do Carmo 44%

Polymarket
NOVO

Cabo Daciolo 44%

David Almeida 44%

Omar Aziz 44%

Professora Maria do Carmo 44%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Professora Maria do Carmo

Professora Maria do Carmo

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$5 Vol.

43%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of seven registered candidates for the October 4, 2026, Amazonas gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered near even odds, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner after the August 15 candidacy deadline. Recent indirect election of incumbent Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and early polling averages showing narrow leads or ties among figures such as Maria do Carmo (PL), Omar Aziz (PSD), and David Almeida (Avante) underscore the competitive dynamics. Alliances with national parties, voter turnout in Manaus, and campaign launches in the coming weeks could consolidate support or split the vote further, while any late shifts in coalitions or polling trends among swing blocs may create separation ahead of the first round.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of seven registered candidates for the October 4, 2026, Amazonas gubernatorial election has kept trader probabilities tightly clustered near even odds, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner after the August 15 candidacy deadline. Recent indirect election of incumbent Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and early polling averages showing narrow leads or ties among figures such as Maria do Carmo (PL), Omar Aziz (PSD), and David Almeida (Avante) underscore the competitive dynamics. Alliances with national parties, voter turnout in Manaus, and campaign launches in the coming weeks could consolidate support or split the vote further, while any late shifts in coalitions or polling trends among swing blocs may create separation ahead of the first round.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

icon for Hana Ghassan vai ganhar a eleição para Governador do Pará?

Hana Ghassan vai ganhar a eleição para Governador do Pará?

49%
Sim
icon for Lucas Ribeiro vai ganhar a eleição para governador da Paraíba?

Lucas Ribeiro vai ganhar a eleição para governador da Paraíba?

75%
Sim
icon for Alan Rick vencerá a eleição para governador do Acre em 2026?

Alan Rick vencerá a eleição para governador do Acre em 2026?

44%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gilberto Vasconcelos" at 45%, followed by "Cabo Daciolo" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas" is "Gilberto Vasconcelos" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cabo Daciolo" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador do Amazonas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.