In the Maranhão Senate race for first place, trader pricing reflects a fragmented contest among established figures with no dominant frontrunner emerging from recent polling or party conventions. Roseana Sarney (MDB), Weverton Rocha (PDT), and Eliziane Gama lead early surveys conducted in mid-2026, while André Fufuca, Lahésio Bonfim, Enilton Rodrigues, and Dr. Hilton Gonçalo register measurable support, producing implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. The first-past-the-post system for the state's two seats amplifies volatility, as vote splitting among center-right and left-leaning blocs can shift margins quickly. Upcoming final candidate registrations, alliance negotiations, and targeted campaigning in key municipalities remain the primary catalysts that could separate contenders before October voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEnilton Rodrigues 44%
Lahesio Bonfim 44%
Fufuca 44%
Raimundo Moreira 44%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Enilton Rodrigues
44%
Lahesio Bonfim
44%
Fufuca
44%
Raimundo Moreira
44%
Roseana Sarney
44%
Simplício Araújo
44%
Weverton Rocha
44%
Wilson Leite
44%
Cidônio Gonçalves
41%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
41%
Eliziane Gama
41%
Enilton Rodrigues 44%
Lahesio Bonfim 44%
Fufuca 44%
Raimundo Moreira 44%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Enilton Rodrigues
$0 Vol.
44%
Lahesio Bonfim
$0 Vol.
44%
Fufuca
$0 Vol.
44%
Raimundo Moreira
$0 Vol.
44%
Roseana Sarney
$0 Vol.
44%
Simplício Araújo
$0 Vol.
44%
Weverton Rocha
$0 Vol.
44%
Wilson Leite
$0 Vol.
44%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$0 Vol.
41%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$0 Vol.
41%
Eliziane Gama
$0 Vol.
41%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Maranhão Senate race for first place, trader pricing reflects a fragmented contest among established figures with no dominant frontrunner emerging from recent polling or party conventions. Roseana Sarney (MDB), Weverton Rocha (PDT), and Eliziane Gama lead early surveys conducted in mid-2026, while André Fufuca, Lahésio Bonfim, Enilton Rodrigues, and Dr. Hilton Gonçalo register measurable support, producing implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. The first-past-the-post system for the state's two seats amplifies volatility, as vote splitting among center-right and left-leaning blocs can shift margins quickly. Upcoming final candidate registrations, alliance negotiations, and targeted campaigning in key municipalities remain the primary catalysts that could separate contenders before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In the Maranhão Senate race for first place, trader pricing reflects a fragmented contest among established figures with no dominant frontrunner emerging from recent polling or party conventions. Roseana Sarney (MDB), Weverton Rocha (PDT), and Eliziane Gama lead early surveys conducted in mid-2026, while André Fufuca, Lahésio Bonfim, Enilton Rodrigues, and Dr. Hilton Gonçalo register measurable support, producing implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. The first-past-the-post system for the state's two seats amplifies volatility, as vote splitting among center-right and left-leaning blocs can shift margins quickly. Upcoming final candidate registrations, alliance negotiations, and targeted campaigning in key municipalities remain the primary catalysts that could separate contenders before October voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$0Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Maranhão Senate race for first place, trader pricing reflects a fragmented contest among established figures with no dominant frontrunner emerging from recent polling or party conventions. Roseana Sarney (MDB), Weverton Rocha (PDT), and Eliziane Gama lead early surveys conducted in mid-2026, while André Fufuca, Lahésio Bonfim, Enilton Rodrigues, and Dr. Hilton Gonçalo register measurable support, producing implied probabilities clustered near 40-50%. The first-past-the-post system for the state's two seats amplifies volatility, as vote splitting among center-right and left-leaning blocs can shift margins quickly. Upcoming final candidate registrations, alliance negotiations, and targeted campaigning in key municipalities remain the primary catalysts that could separate contenders before October voting.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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